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Paul Reed

Detroit Pistons · F · #7

PHI @ DET · Tomorrow 7:00 PM
OverUnder15.5
Over 15.5 Pts+Ast, typical price +1083 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 15.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • TonightTeammate out

    Jalen Duren: Out (hamstring)

    Over 15.5 without him: 8 of 17; with him: 5 of 64 (81 games as teammates)

  • TonightMinutes

    Last 5: 29.2 min · 2025–26: 13.3 (74 games) · up 120%

  • Rest

    1 day off since Nov 2 at CHA

  • Game lines

    DET −1.5 · total 217.5 (4 sportsbooks)

    DET's games this season closed at 221.4 on average (7 games)

Game log against Over 15.5

50%3 of 6L20 · Without Duren

Over 15.5 Pts+Ast cleared in 3 of 6 games without Jalen Duren (his last 20 games).

  1. at ORL, 2026-04-06: 11, missed, 19 min (not counted)
  2. vs MIL, 2026-04-08: 11, missed, 10 min (not counted)
  3. at CHA, 2026-04-10: 4, missed, 10 min (not counted)
  4. at IND, 2026-04-12: 29, cleared, 22 min
  5. vs ORL, 2026-04-22: 0, missed, 1 min (not counted)
  6. at ORL, 2026-04-25: 4, missed, 7 min (not counted)
  7. at ORL, 2026-05-01: 6, missed, 11 min (not counted)
  8. vs ORL, 2026-05-03: 0, missed, 2 min (not counted)
  9. at CLE, 2026-05-09: 11, missed, 10 min (not counted)
  10. at CLE, 2026-05-11: 17, cleared, 14 min (not counted)
  11. vs CLE, 2026-05-13: 11, missed, 17 min (not counted)
  12. at CLE, 2026-05-15: 18, cleared, 16 min (not counted)
  13. vs CLE, 2026-05-17: 5, missed, 8 min (not counted)
  14. vs BOS, 2026-10-20: 8, missed, 17 min (not counted)
  15. at MIA, 2026-10-23: 23, cleared, 26 min (not counted)
  16. at PHI, 2026-10-25: 10, missed, 23 min
  17. at NY, 2026-10-27: 25, cleared, 26 min
  18. vs CHA, 2026-10-28: 16, cleared, 38 min
  19. at BKN, 2026-10-30: 13, missed, 31 min
  20. at CHA, 2026-11-02: 15, missed, 28 min
ClearedMissedThe 15.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 15.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 15.5 · L20

  • Cade CunninghamG

  • Jalen DurenCOut

  • Duncan RobinsonF

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Pistons count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs PHI

Pts+Ast: 10 in 23 min, Oct 25 (away)

Over 15.5 hit in 0 of 7 games against PHI on record

L20 · Without Duren · Over 15.5

Average
18
+2.5 vs line
Median
15.5
±0 vs line
Hit rate
50%
3 of 6
Price implies
48%
at +108
Books’ fair
45%
margin removed
Minutes
28
6 games · 13.3 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 15.5 45%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Duren
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL20
−1184 books+1001 book4/6
+1083 books−1481 book3/6
+2753 books—2/6
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 15.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 15.5 Pts+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 15.5Under 15.5
Bally Bet5 min ago+108Best—
betPARX7 min ago+108Best−148Best
BetRivers7 min ago+108Best—
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 6:28 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

15.5

14.5 → 15.5 since first seen

Paul Reed's full game log and splits