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Paul Reed

Detroit Pistons · F · #7

PHI @ DET · Tomorrow 7:00 PM
OverUnder12.5
Over 12.5 Points, typical price −1145 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 12.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • TonightTeammate out

    Jalen Duren: Out (hamstring)

    Over 12.5 without him: 8 of 17; with him: 7 of 64 (81 games as teammates)

  • TonightDefense vs forwards

    PHI allow 33.6 points a game to forwards: 29th most of 30

    8 games

  • TonightMinutes

    Last 5: 29.2 min · 2025–26: 13.3 (74 games) · up 120%

  • Rest

    1 day off since Nov 2 at CHA

Game log against Over 12.5

50%3 of 6L20 · Without Duren

Over 12.5 Points cleared in 3 of 6 games without Jalen Duren (his last 20 games).

  1. at ORL, 2026-04-06: 9, missed, 19 min (not counted)
  2. vs MIL, 2026-04-08: 10, missed, 10 min (not counted)
  3. at CHA, 2026-04-10: 4, missed, 10 min (not counted)
  4. at IND, 2026-04-12: 26, cleared, 22 min
  5. vs ORL, 2026-04-22: 0, missed, 1 min (not counted)
  6. at ORL, 2026-04-25: 4, missed, 7 min (not counted)
  7. at ORL, 2026-05-01: 6, missed, 11 min (not counted)
  8. vs ORL, 2026-05-03: 0, missed, 2 min (not counted)
  9. at CLE, 2026-05-09: 11, missed, 10 min (not counted)
  10. at CLE, 2026-05-11: 15, cleared, 14 min (not counted)
  11. vs CLE, 2026-05-13: 10, missed, 17 min (not counted)
  12. at CLE, 2026-05-15: 17, cleared, 16 min (not counted)
  13. vs CLE, 2026-05-17: 4, missed, 8 min (not counted)
  14. vs BOS, 2026-10-20: 6, missed, 17 min (not counted)
  15. at MIA, 2026-10-23: 19, cleared, 26 min (not counted)
  16. at PHI, 2026-10-25: 8, missed, 23 min
  17. at NY, 2026-10-27: 22, cleared, 26 min
  18. vs CHA, 2026-10-28: 16, cleared, 38 min
  19. at BKN, 2026-10-30: 12, missed, 31 min
  20. at CHA, 2026-11-02: 11, missed, 28 min
ClearedMissedThe 12.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 12.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 12.5 · L20

  • Cade CunninghamG

  • Jalen DurenCOut

  • Duncan RobinsonF

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Pistons count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs PHI

Points: 8 in 23 min, Oct 25 (away)

Over 12.5 hit in 0 of 7 games against PHI on record

L20 · Without Duren · Over 12.5

Average
15.8
+3.3 vs line
Median
14
+1.5 vs line
Hit rate
50%
3 of 6
Price implies
53%
at −114
Books’ fair
51%
margin removed
Minutes
28
6 games · 13.3 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 12.5 51%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Duren
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL20
−3026 books—5/6
−2451 book+1801 book5/6
−1555 books+1351 book4/6
−1145 books−1134 books3/6
+1125 books−1282 books3/6
+1303 books−1701 book3/6
+1854 books−2201 book3/6
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 12.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 12.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 12.5Under 12.5
Bally Bet1 min ago−114Best—
betPARX1 min ago−114Best−118
BetRivers2 min ago−114Best−118
FanDuel2 min ago−122−108
Bovada1 min ago−130+100Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 11:39 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

12.5

−118 → −114 since first seen

Paul Reed's full game log and splits