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Paul Reed

Detroit Pistons · F · #7

PHI @ DET · Tomorrow 7:00 PM
OverUnder2.5
Over 2.5 Assists, typical price +1306 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tomorrow

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • TomorrowTeammate out

    Jalen Duren: Out (hamstring)

    Over 2.5 without him: 10 of 17; with him: 7 of 64 (81 games as teammates)

  • TomorrowDefense vs forwards

    PHI allow 5.6 assists a game to forwards: the fewest of 30

    8 games

  • TomorrowMinutes

    Last 5: 29.2 min · 2025–26: 13.3 (74 games) · up 120%

  • Rest

    1 day off since Nov 2 at CHA

Game log against Over 2.5

50%3 of 6L20 · Without Duren

Over 2.5 Assists cleared in 3 of 6 games without Jalen Duren (his last 20 games).

  1. at ORL, 2026-04-06: 2, missed, 19 min (not counted)
  2. vs MIL, 2026-04-08: 1, missed, 10 min (not counted)
  3. at CHA, 2026-04-10: 0, missed, 10 min (not counted)
  4. at IND, 2026-04-12: 3, cleared, 22 min
  5. vs ORL, 2026-04-22: 0, missed, 1 min (not counted)
  6. at ORL, 2026-04-25: 0, missed, 7 min (not counted)
  7. at ORL, 2026-05-01: 0, missed, 11 min (not counted)
  8. vs ORL, 2026-05-03: 0, missed, 2 min (not counted)
  9. at CLE, 2026-05-09: 0, missed, 10 min (not counted)
  10. at CLE, 2026-05-11: 2, missed, 14 min (not counted)
  11. vs CLE, 2026-05-13: 1, missed, 17 min (not counted)
  12. at CLE, 2026-05-15: 1, missed, 16 min (not counted)
  13. vs CLE, 2026-05-17: 1, missed, 8 min (not counted)
  14. vs BOS, 2026-10-20: 2, missed, 17 min (not counted)
  15. at MIA, 2026-10-23: 4, cleared, 26 min (not counted)
  16. at PHI, 2026-10-25: 2, missed, 23 min
  17. at NY, 2026-10-27: 3, cleared, 26 min
  18. vs CHA, 2026-10-28: 0, missed, 38 min
  19. at BKN, 2026-10-30: 1, missed, 31 min
  20. at CHA, 2026-11-02: 4, cleared, 28 min
ClearedMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 2.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 2.5 · L20

  • Cade CunninghamG

  • Jalen DurenCOut

  • Duncan RobinsonF

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tomorrow. Only games they were teammates on the Pistons count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs PHI

Assists: 2 in 23 min, Oct 25 (away)

Over 2.5 hit in 1 of 7 games against PHI on record

L20 · Without Duren · Over 2.5

Average
2.2
−0.3 vs line
Median
2.5
±0 vs line
Hit rate
50%
3 of 6
Price implies
43%
at +130
Books’ fair
40%
margin removed
Minutes
28
6 games · 13.3 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 40%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Duren
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL20
−12504 books—5/6
−2355 books+1701 book4/6
+1306 books−1755 books3/6
+3105 books—1/6
+6752 books—0/6
+15602 books—0/6
+25002 books—0/6
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 2.5Under 2.5
FanDuel4 min ago+140Best−188
Bally Bet5 min ago+130—
betPARX3 min ago+130−175
Bovada5 min ago+130−170Best
DraftKings14 min ago+130−172
BetRivers3 min ago+128−177
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 11:50 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Over +138 → +130 since first seen

Paul Reed's full game log and splits