Oso Ighodaro

Phoenix Suns · F · #11

ORL @ PHX · Today 9:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Steals, typical price −1253 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

90%9 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Steals hit in 9 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 at home).

at LAL, 2026-04-10: 0, hit, 21 min
at OKC, 2026-04-12: 0, hit, 14 min
at OKC, 2026-04-19: 0, hit, 26 min
at OKC, 2026-04-22: 0, hit, 29 min
vs OKC, 2026-04-25: 0, hit, 39 min
vs OKC, 2026-04-27: 2, missed, 34 min
at POR, 2026-10-21: 0, hit, 15 min
vs DEN, 2026-10-30: 0, hit, 21 min
at GS, 2026-11-02: 0, hit, 24 min
vs POR, 2026-11-04: 0, hit, 23 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–1 steals.

What's different today

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayRest · back-to-back
Suns played the day before (vs POR): a back-to-back
Teammate out
Mark Williams: Out (shoulder)
Under 0.5 without him: 17 of 30; with him: 27 of 60 (90 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jordan Goodwin: Out (calf)
Under 0.5 without him: 10 of 16; with him: 34 of 74 (90 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
ORL allow 3.1 steals a game to forwards: 17th most of 30
7 games

Splits

Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against ORL in his last 10; Under 0.5 hit in 2 of 4 against ORL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Devin BookerG
Jalen GreenG
Dillon BrooksF
Mark WilliamsCOut
Jordan GoodwinGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Suns count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs ORL

Steals: 0 in 25 min, Mar 31 (away)

Under 0.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against ORL on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.2; −0.3 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 90%; 9 of 10
Price implies: 56%; at −125
Books’ fair: 52%; margin removed
Our chance: 60%; estimate · fair −153

Research, not a pick. At −125 the price beats our fair −153, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	−1093 books	−1251 book	9/10
	+4303 books	—	9/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Steals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
betPARX2 min ago	−109Best	−125Best
Bally Bet3 min ago	−109Best	—
BetRivers2 min ago	−109Best	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 4:00 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under: −120 → −125 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+0.6%

Rest−3%

Oso Ighodaro's full game log and splits