Oso Ighodaro

Phoenix Suns · F · #11

ORL @ PHX · Today 9:00 PM

Over Under9.5

Over 9.5 Pts+Ast, typical price −1206 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Over 9.5 Pts+Ast cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 at home).

at LAL, 2026-04-10: 10, cleared, 21 min
at OKC, 2026-04-12: 7, missed, 14 min
at OKC, 2026-04-19: 3, missed, 26 min
at OKC, 2026-04-22: 12, cleared, 29 min
vs OKC, 2026-04-25: 19, cleared, 39 min
vs OKC, 2026-04-27: 12, cleared, 34 min
at POR, 2026-10-21: 11, cleared, 15 min
vs DEN, 2026-10-30: 7, missed, 21 min
at GS, 2026-11-02: 16, cleared, 24 min
vs POR, 2026-11-04: 16, cleared, 23 min

ClearedMissedThe 9.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 3.3–19 pts+ast.

What's different today

Over 9.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayRest · back-to-back
Suns played the day before (vs POR): a back-to-back
Teammate out
Mark Williams: Out (shoulder)
Over 9.5 without him: 20 of 30; with him: 20 of 60 (90 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 23.4 min · 2025–26: 22.5 (86 games)
Game lines
PHX −1.5 · total 222.5 (7 sportsbooks)
PHX's games this season closed at 227 on average (6 games) · Ighodaro has 4 games this season

Splits

Over 9.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against ORL in his last 10; Over 9.5 cleared in 3 of 4 against ORL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 9.5 · L10

Devin BookerG
Jalen GreenG
Dillon BrooksF
Mark WilliamsCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Suns count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs ORL

Pts+Ast: 10 in 25 min, Mar 31 (away)

Over 9.5 hit in 3 of 4 games against ORL on record

L10 · Over 9.5

Average: 11.3; +1.8 vs line
Median: 11.5; +2 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 55%; at −120
Books’ fair: 52%; margin removed
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −131

Research, not a pick. At −112 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −131, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−11401 book	—	9/10
−1701 book	+1301 book	7/10
−1206 books	−1083 books	7/10
+1234 books	−1752 books	6/10
+4005 books	—	3/10
+13002 books	—	0/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 9.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 9.5 Pts+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 9.5	Under 9.5
BetRivers3 min ago	−112Best	—
Bally Bet7 min ago	−114	—
betPARX7 min ago	−114	—
Bovada6 min ago	−120	−110
FanDuel5 min ago	−122	−108
DraftKings7 min ago	−128	−103Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 12:32 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

9.5

Over: +104 → −120 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+0.6%

Rest−3%

Oso Ighodaro's full game log and splits