Oso Ighodaro
ORL @ PHX · Today 9:00 PM
Game log against Over 14.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 14.5 Pts+Reb+Ast cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 4 at home).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 7.5–26.2 pts+reb+ast.
What's different today
Over 14.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayDefense vs forwards
ORL allow 81.7 points + rebounds + assists a game to forwards: 2nd most of 30
7 games
TodayRest · back-to-back
Suns played the day before (vs POR): a back-to-back
Teammate out
Mark Williams: Out (shoulder)
Over 14.5 without him: 20 of 30; with him: 21 of 60 (90 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jordan Goodwin: Out (calf)
Over 14.5 without him: 9 of 16; with him: 32 of 74 (90 games as teammates)
Splits
Over 14.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against ORL in his last 10; Over 14.5 cleared in 3 of 4 against ORL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 14.5 · L10Devin BookerG
Jalen GreenG
Dillon BrooksF
Mark WilliamsCOut
Jordan GoodwinGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Suns count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs ORL
Pts+Reb+Ast: 20 in 25 min, Mar 31 (away)
Over 14.5 hit in 3 of 4 games against ORL on record
L10 · Over 14.5
- Average
- 17.8
- +3.3 vs line
- Median
- 19
- +4.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 58%
- at −137
- Books’ fair
- 51%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 58%
- estimate · fair −136
Research, not a pick. At −120 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −136, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −6704 books | — | 10/10 | |
| −2101 book | +1551 book | 9/10 | |
| −1601 book | +1201 book | 8/10 | |
| −1376 books | −1103 books | 7/10 | |
| −1064 books | −1293 books | 7/10 | |
| +1351 book | −1801 book | 6/10 | |
| +2455 books | — | 5/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 14.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 14.5 | Under 14.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada4 min ago | −120Best | −110 |
| DraftKings5 min ago | −120Best | −110 |
| FanDuel5 min ago | −120Best | −106Best |
| Bally Bet5 min ago | −137 | — |
| betPARX5 min ago | −137 | — |
| BetRivers5 min ago | −137 | — |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 6:30 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
14.5−104 → −137 since first seen