Oso Ighodaro

Phoenix Suns · F · #11

ORL @ PHX · Today 9:00 PM

Over Under2.5

Over 2.5 Assists, typical price −1256 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

80%8 of 10L10

Over 2.5 Assists cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (4 of 4 at home).

at LAL, 2026-04-10: 2, missed, 21 min
at OKC, 2026-04-12: 5, cleared, 14 min
at OKC, 2026-04-19: 3, cleared, 26 min
at OKC, 2026-04-22: 5, cleared, 29 min
vs OKC, 2026-04-25: 4, cleared, 39 min
vs OKC, 2026-04-27: 4, cleared, 34 min
at POR, 2026-10-21: 3, cleared, 15 min
vs DEN, 2026-10-30: 5, cleared, 21 min
at GS, 2026-11-02: 2, missed, 24 min
vs POR, 2026-11-04: 7, cleared, 23 min

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 1–6 assists.

What's different today

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayDefense vs forwards
ORL allow 10.9 assists a game to forwards: the most of 30
7 games
TodayRest · back-to-back
Suns played the day before (vs POR): a back-to-back
Teammate out
Mark Williams: Out (shoulder)
Over 2.5 without him: 20 of 30; with him: 18 of 60 (90 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 23.4 min · 2025–26: 22.5 (86 games)

Splits

Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against ORL in his last 10; Over 2.5 cleared in 2 of 4 against ORL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 2.5 · L10

Devin BookerG
Jalen GreenG
Dillon BrooksF
Mark WilliamsCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Suns count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs ORL

Assists: 5 in 25 min, Mar 31 (away)

Over 2.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against ORL on record

L10 · Over 2.5

Average: 4; +1.5 vs line
Median: 4; +1.5 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 8 of 10
Price implies: 56%; at −125
Books’ fair: 52%; margin removed
Our chance: 58%; estimate · fair −140

Research, not a pick. At −121 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −140, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−250001 book	—	10/10
−3454 books	—	10/10
−1256 books	−1055 books	8/10
+1906 books	−2601 book	6/10
+4005 books	—	4/10
+7505 books	—	1/10
+12002 books	—	1/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
Bally Bet5 min ago	−121Best	—
betPARX6 min ago	−121Best	−112
BetRivers6 min ago	−121Best	−112
Bovada5 min ago	−125	−105
FanDuel6 min ago	−128	−102Best
DraftKings5 min ago	−129	−102Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 1:10 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

+146 → −125 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+0.6%

Rest−3%

Oso Ighodaro's full game log and splits