Oso Ighodaro
ORL @ PHX · Today 9:00 PM
Game log against Over 2.5
80%8 of 10L10
Over 2.5 Assists cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (4 of 4 at home).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 1–6 assists.
What's different today
Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayDefense vs forwards
ORL allow 10.9 assists a game to forwards: the most of 30
7 games
TodayRest · back-to-back
Suns played the day before (vs POR): a back-to-back
Teammate out
Mark Williams: Out (shoulder)
Over 2.5 without him: 20 of 30; with him: 18 of 60 (90 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jordan Goodwin: Out (calf)
Over 2.5 without him: 11 of 16; with him: 27 of 74 (90 games as teammates)
Splits
Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against ORL in his last 10; Over 2.5 cleared in 2 of 4 against ORL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 2.5 · L10Devin BookerG
Jalen GreenG
Dillon BrooksF
Mark WilliamsCOut
Jordan GoodwinGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Suns count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs ORL
Assists: 5 in 25 min, Mar 31 (away)
Over 2.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against ORL on record
L10 · Over 2.5
- Average
- 4
- +1.5 vs line
- Median
- 4
- +1.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 80%
- 8 of 10
- Price implies
- 56%
- at −125
- Books’ fair
- 52%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 58%
- estimate · fair −140
Research, not a pick. At −122 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −140, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −250001 book | — | 10/10 | |
| −3604 books | — | 10/10 | |
| −1256 books | −1055 books | 8/10 | |
| +1856 books | −2601 book | 6/10 | |
| +3805 books | — | 4/10 | |
| +7005 books | — | 1/10 | |
| +12202 books | — | 1/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 2.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet2 min ago | −122Best | — |
| betPARX1 min ago | −122Best | −109 |
| BetRivers1 min ago | −124 | −110 |
| Bovada2 min ago | −125 | −105 |
| FanDuel1 min ago | −128 | −104 |
| DraftKings3 min ago | −131 | −101Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 4:31 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
2.5+146 → −125 since first seen