Nikola Jokic
TOR @ DEN · LiveGame log against Over 11.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 11.5 Rebounds cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 at home).
What's different yesterday
Over 11.5 · facts from past games, not a pickYesterdayTeammate out
DeMar DeRozan: Out (back)
Over 11.5 without him: no games; with him: 2 of 6 (6 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Spencer Jones: Out (hamstring)
Over 11.5 without him: 16 of 23; with him: 35 of 54 (77 games as teammates)
Defense vs centers
TOR allow 10.3 rebounds a game to centers: 12th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 37.2 min · 2025–26: 35.2 (71 games)
Splits
Over 11.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against TOR in his last 10; Over 11.5 cleared in 2 of 4 against TOR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 11.5 · L10Jamal MurrayG
Aaron GordonF
DeMar DeRozanGOut
Spencer JonesFOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Nuggets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs TOR
Rebounds: 8 in 37 min, Mar 20 (home)
Over 11.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against TOR on record
L10 · Over 11.5
- Average
- 10.9
- −0.6 vs line
- Median
- 10.5
- −1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 55%
- at −124
- Books’ fair
- 51%
- margin removed
- Minutes
- 37.8
- 10 games · 35.2 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 11.5 51%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −4793 books | — | 7/10 | |
| −2913 books | — | 5/10 | |
| −2004 books | +1501 book | 5/10 | |
| −1244 books | −1063 books | 5/10 | |
| +1214 books | −1601 book | 4/10 | |
| +1803 books | −2451 book | 3/10 | |
| +2634 books | — | 3/10 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 11.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 11.5 | Under 11.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet25 hr ago | −110Best | — |
| Pinnacle25 hr ago | −111 | −119 |
| DraftKings25 hr ago | −124 | −106 |
| Bovada25 hr ago | −125 | −105Best |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
11.5−115 → −124 since first seen
This page last updated 9:12 PM ET.


