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Nikola Jokic

Denver Nuggets · C · #15

TOR @ DEN · Tomorrow 9:00 PM
OverUnder20.5
Over 20.5 Reb+Ast, typical price −1321 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 20.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • Teammate out

    Spencer Jones: Out (hamstring)

    Over 20.5 without him: 16 of 23; with him: 35 of 54 (77 games as teammates)

  • Minutes

    Last 5: 37.2 min · 2025–26: 35.2 (71 games)

  • Rest

    1 day off since Nov 2 vs POR

  • Game lines

    DEN −4.5 · total 231.5 (6 sportsbooks)

    DEN's games this season closed at 236.2 on average (6 games)

Game log against Over 20.5

40%4 of 10L10

Over 20.5 Reb+Ast cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 at home).

  1. at MIN, 2026-04-23: 18, missed, 35 min
  2. at MIN, 2026-04-25: 24, cleared, 41 min
  3. vs MIN, 2026-04-27: 28, cleared, 38 min
  4. at MIN, 2026-04-30: 19, missed, 43 min
  5. at OKC, 2026-10-22: 12, missed, 35 min
  6. vs NO, 2026-10-24: 25, cleared, 44 min
  7. vs GS, 2026-10-26: 18, missed, 35 min
  8. at NO, 2026-10-28: 23, cleared, 34 min
  9. at PHX, 2026-10-30: 17, missed, 37 min
  10. vs POR, 2026-11-02: 17, missed, 36 min
ClearedMissedThe 20.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 20.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against TOR in his last 10; Over 20.5 cleared in 2 of 4 against TOR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 20.5 · L10
  • Jamal MurrayG

  • Aaron GordonF

  • DeMar DeRozanG

  • Spencer JonesFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Nuggets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs TOR

Reb+Ast: 17 in 37 min, Mar 20 (home)

Over 20.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against TOR on record

L10 · Over 20.5

Average
20.1
−0.4 vs line
Median
18.5
−2 vs line
Hit rate
40%
4 of 10
Price implies
57%
at −132
Books’ fair
53%
margin removed
Minutes
37.8
10 games · 35.2 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 20.5 53%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−1321 book+1001 book4/10
pick'em onlypick'em only4/10
Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 20.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 20.5 Reb+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 20.5Under 20.5
FanDuel5 min ago−132Best+100Best
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 10:28 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

20.5

No move since first seen

Nikola Jokic's full game log and splits