Nikola Jokic

Denver Nuggets · C · #15

TOR @ DEN · Tomorrow 9:00 PM

Over Under24.5

Over 24.5 Points, typical price −1301 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 24.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Spencer Jones: Out (hamstring)
Over 24.5 without him: 11 of 23; with him: 33 of 54 (77 games as teammates)
Defense vs centers
TOR allow 12.6 points a game to centers: 19th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 37.2 min · 2025–26: 35.2 (71 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs POR

50%5 of 10L10

Over 24.5 Points cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 at home).

at MIN, 2026-04-23: 27, cleared, 35 min
at MIN, 2026-04-25: 24, missed, 41 min
vs MIN, 2026-04-27: 27, cleared, 38 min
at MIN, 2026-04-30: 28, cleared, 43 min
at OKC, 2026-10-22: 13, missed, 35 min
vs NO, 2026-10-24: 35, cleared, 44 min
vs GS, 2026-10-26: 19, missed, 35 min
at NO, 2026-10-28: 21, missed, 34 min
at PHX, 2026-10-30: 18, missed, 37 min
vs POR, 2026-11-02: 26, cleared, 36 min

ClearedMissedThe 24.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 24.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against TOR in his last 10; Over 24.5 cleared in 3 of 4 against TOR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 24.5 · L10

Jamal MurrayG
Aaron GordonF
DeMar DeRozanG
Spencer JonesFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Nuggets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs TOR

Points: 22 in 37 min, Mar 20 (home)

Over 24.5 hit in 3 of 4 games against TOR on record

L10 · Over 24.5

Average: 23.8; −0.7 vs line
Median: 25; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 57%; at −130
Books’ fair: 53%; margin removed
Minutes: 37.8; 10 games · 35.2 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 24.5 53%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−30001 book	—	9/10
−4301 book	—	7/10
−1301 book	−1021 book	5/10
pick'em only	pick'em only	5/10
+2201 book	—	1/10
+6001 book	—	1/10
+14001 book	—	0/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 2 pick'em apps at 24.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 24.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 24.5	Under 24.5
FanDuel1 min ago	−130Best	−102Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 10:58 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

24.5

−128 → −130 since first seen

Nikola Jokic's full game log and splits