Nikola Jokic

Denver Nuggets · C · #15

TOR @ DEN · Tomorrow 9:00 PM

Over Under11.5

Over 11.5 Rebounds, typical price −1141 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 11.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Spencer Jones: Out (hamstring)
Over 11.5 without him: 16 of 23; with him: 35 of 54 (77 games as teammates)
Defense vs centers
TOR allow 10.3 rebounds a game to centers: 12th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 37.2 min · 2025–26: 35.2 (71 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs POR

50%5 of 10L10

Over 11.5 Rebounds cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 at home).

at MIN, 2026-04-23: 15, cleared, 35 min
at MIN, 2026-04-25: 15, cleared, 41 min
vs MIN, 2026-04-27: 12, cleared, 38 min
at MIN, 2026-04-30: 9, missed, 43 min
at OKC, 2026-10-22: 7, missed, 35 min
vs NO, 2026-10-24: 15, cleared, 44 min
vs GS, 2026-10-26: 7, missed, 35 min
at NO, 2026-10-28: 13, cleared, 34 min
at PHX, 2026-10-30: 7, missed, 37 min
vs POR, 2026-11-02: 9, missed, 36 min

ClearedMissedThe 11.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 11.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against TOR in his last 10; Over 11.5 cleared in 2 of 4 against TOR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 11.5 · L10

Jamal MurrayG
Aaron GordonF
DeMar DeRozanG
Spencer JonesFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Nuggets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs TOR

Rebounds: 8 in 37 min, Mar 20 (home)

Over 11.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against TOR on record

L10 · Over 11.5

Average: 10.9; −0.6 vs line
Median: 10.5; −1 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −114
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Minutes: 37.8; 10 games · 35.2 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 11.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−50001 book	—	10/10
−8001 book	—	7/10
−3501 book	—	5/10
−1141 book	−1141 book	5/10
+2201 book	—	3/10
+5201 book	—	0/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 3 pick'em apps at 11.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 11.5 Rebounds, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 11.5	Under 11.5
FanDuel7 min ago	−114Best	−114Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:07 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

11.5

−118 → −114 since first seen

Nikola Jokic's full game log and splits