Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Atlanta Hawks · G · #7

ATL @ WSH · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Blocks, typical price −2403 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

80%8 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Blocks hit in 8 of his last 10 games (5 of 6 on the road).

at NY, 2026-04-28: 0, hit, 34 min
vs NY, 2026-04-30: 0, hit, 29 min
at ORL, 2026-10-21: 1, missed, 30 min
at CHA, 2026-10-23: 0, hit, 27 min
vs HOU, 2026-10-24: 0, hit, 32 min
at HOU, 2026-10-26: 0, hit, 29 min
vs MIA, 2026-10-28: 0, hit, 32 min
vs CLE, 2026-10-29: 1, missed, 31 min
at NO, 2026-10-31: 0, hit, 29 min
at IND, 2026-11-02: 0, hit, 31 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–1 blocks.

What's different today

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayDefense vs guards
WSH allow 0.4 blocks a game to guards: 29th most of 30
7 games
Teammate out
Jock Landale: Out (hip)
Under 0.5 without him: 7 of 13; with him: 21 of 29 (42 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 30.4 min · 2026–27: 30.1 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at IND
3rd straight road game

Splits

Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against WSH in his last 10; Under 0.5 hit in 4 of 5 against WSH on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Jalen JohnsonFDay-To-Day
CJ McCollumG
Aaron WigginsG
Jock LandaleCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Hawks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs WSH

Alexander-Walker didn't play the Feb 26 meeting; blocks the last time Alexander-Walker faced them: 0 (Feb 24)

Under 0.5 hit in 4 of 5 games against WSH on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.2; −0.3 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 8 of 10
Price implies: 71%; at −240
Books’ fair: 66%; margin removed
Our chance: 63%; estimate · fair −170

Research, not a pick. At −240 the price is worse than our fair −170, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+1703 books	−2401 book	8/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Blocks, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
betPARX1 min ago	+170Best	−240Best
Bally Bet3 min ago	+170Best	—
BetRivers2 min ago	+170Best	—

Prices as of 5:46 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under: No move since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%

Nickeil Alexander-Walker's full game log and splits