Naji Marshall

Dallas Mavericks · F · #3

DAL @ SA · Today 9:30 PM

Over Under14.5

Over 14.5 Pts+Ast, typical price −1304 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 14.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

All 7 of his 7 hits in the last 10 came before Marshall missed 3 games. Since he came back: Over 14.5 in 0 of 1.

TodayBack from an absence
Today's game is his 2nd back after missing 3 games in a row (Oct 26 – Oct 30)
Over 14.5 since: 0 of 1
Teammate out
Max Christie: Out (hip)
Over 14.5 without him: 5 of 5; with him: 47 of 73 (78 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Dereck Lively II: Out (foot)
Over 14.5 without him: 49 of 71; with him: 3 of 7 (78 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 25.4 min · 2025–26: 29.5 (74 games)

70%7 of 10L10

Over 14.5 Pts+Ast cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 on the road).

vs GS, 2026-03-23: 23, cleared, 35 min
at DEN, 2026-03-25: 25, cleared, 30 min
at POR, 2026-03-27: 22, cleared, 33 min
vs ORL, 2026-04-03: 11, missed, 24 min
vs LAL, 2026-04-05: 20, cleared, 32 min
at LAC, 2026-04-07: 6, missed, 20 min
at HOU, 2026-10-21: 22, cleared, 29 min
at IND, 2026-10-23: 21, cleared, 33 min
vs SA, 2026-10-24: 15, cleared, 21 min
vs SAC, 2026-11-02: 12, missed, 24 min

ClearedMissedThe 14.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 14.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 14.5 · L10

Cooper FlaggF
Kyrie IrvingG
P.J. WashingtonF
Max ChristieGOut
Dereck Lively IICOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Mavericks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs SA

Pts+Ast: 15 in 21 min, Oct 24 (home)

Over 14.5 hit in 5 of 11 games against SA on record

L10 · Over 14.5

Average: 17.7; +3.2 vs line
Median: 20.5; +6 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 57%; at −130
Books’ fair: 51%; margin removed
Minutes: 28.1; 10 games · 29.5 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 14.5 51%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−4711 book	—	9/10
−1304 books	−1123 books	7/10
+2353 books	—	6/10
+8601 book	—	1/10
+20001 book	—	0/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 14.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 14.5 Pts+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 14.5	Under 14.5
DraftKings6 min ago	−111Best	−118
FanDuel1 min ago	−118	−112
BetRivers1 min ago	−130	—
betPARX1 min ago	−132	−103Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 1:48 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

14.5

Over −122 → −130 since first seen

Naji Marshall's full game log and splits