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Naji Marshall

Dallas Mavericks · F · #3

DAL @ SA · Tomorrow 9:30 PM
OverUnder18.5
Over 18.5 Pts+Reb+Ast, typical price −1101 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 18.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

All 7 of his 7 hits in the last 10 came before Marshall missed 3 games. Since he came back: Over 18.5 in 0 of 1.

  • TonightBack from an absence

    Tonight is his 2nd game back after missing 3 games in a row (Oct 26 – Oct 30)

    Over 18.5 since: 0 of 1

  • Teammate out

    Max Christie: Out (hip)

    Over 18.5 without him: 5 of 5; with him: 48 of 73 (78 games as teammates)

  • Teammate out

    Dereck Lively II: Out (foot)

    Over 18.5 without him: 48 of 71; with him: 5 of 7 (78 games as teammates)

  • Defense vs forwards

    SA allow 61.9 points + rebounds + assists a game to forwards: 23rd most of 30

    7 games

Game log against Over 18.5

70%7 of 10L10

Over 18.5 Pts+Reb+Ast cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 on the road).

  1. vs GS, 2026-03-23: 29, cleared, 35 min
  2. at DEN, 2026-03-25: 29, cleared, 30 min
  3. at POR, 2026-03-27: 25, cleared, 33 min
  4. vs ORL, 2026-04-03: 15, missed, 24 min
  5. vs LAL, 2026-04-05: 26, cleared, 32 min
  6. at LAC, 2026-04-07: 8, missed, 20 min
  7. at HOU, 2026-10-21: 24, cleared, 29 min
  8. at IND, 2026-10-23: 25, cleared, 33 min
  9. vs SA, 2026-10-24: 19, cleared, 21 min
  10. vs SAC, 2026-11-02: 14, missed, 24 min
ClearedMissedThe 18.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 18.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 18.5 · L10
  • Cooper FlaggF

  • Kyrie IrvingG

  • P.J. WashingtonF

  • Max ChristieGOut

  • Dereck Lively IICOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Mavericks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs SA

Pts+Reb+Ast: 19 in 21 min, Oct 24 (home)

Over 18.5 hit in 5 of 11 games against SA on record

L10 · Over 18.5

Average
21.4
+2.9 vs line
Median
24.5
+6 vs line
Hit rate
70%
7 of 10
Price implies
52%
at −110
Books’ fair
49%
margin removed
Minutes
28.1
10 games · 29.5 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 18.5 49%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−1101 book−1201 book7/10
Compare 1 sportsbook and 3 pick'em apps at 18.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 18.5 Pts+Reb+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 18.5Under 18.5
FanDuel4 min ago−110Best−120Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 9:50 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

18.5

Over −112 → −110 since first seen

Naji Marshall's full game log and splits