Naji Marshall

Dallas Mavericks · F · #3

DAL @ SA · Tomorrow 9:30 PM

Over Under6.5

Over 6.5 Reb+Ast, typical price −1361 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 6.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

3 of his last 4 came before Marshall missed 3 games. Since he came back: Over 6.5 in 1 of 1.

TonightBack from an absence
Tonight is his 2nd game back after missing 3 games in a row (Oct 26 – Oct 30)
Over 6.5 since: 1 of 1
Teammate out
Max Christie: Out (hip)
Over 6.5 without him: 5 of 5; with him: 45 of 73 (78 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Dereck Lively II: Out (foot)
Over 6.5 without him: 45 of 71; with him: 5 of 7 (78 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 25.4 min · 2025–26: 29.5 (74 games)

70%7 of 10L10

Over 6.5 Reb+Ast cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).

vs GS, 2026-03-23: 13, cleared, 35 min
at DEN, 2026-03-25: 7, cleared, 30 min
at POR, 2026-03-27: 6, missed, 33 min
vs ORL, 2026-04-03: 6, missed, 24 min
vs LAL, 2026-04-05: 13, cleared, 32 min
at LAC, 2026-04-07: 2, missed, 20 min
at HOU, 2026-10-21: 8, cleared, 29 min
at IND, 2026-10-23: 10, cleared, 33 min
vs SA, 2026-10-24: 9, cleared, 21 min
vs SAC, 2026-11-02: 9, cleared, 24 min

ClearedMissedThe 6.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 6.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 6.5 · L10

Cooper FlaggF
Kyrie IrvingG
P.J. WashingtonF
Max ChristieGOut
Dereck Lively IICOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Mavericks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs SA

Reb+Ast: 9 in 21 min, Oct 24 (home)

Over 6.5 hit in 6 of 11 games against SA on record

L10 · Over 6.5

Average: 8.3; +1.8 vs line
Median: 8.5; +2 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 58%; at −136
Books’ fair: 54%; margin removed
Minutes: 28.1; 10 games · 29.5 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 6.5 54%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	−1361 book	+1021 book	7/10

Compare 1 sportsbook at 6.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 6.5 Reb+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 6.5	Under 6.5
FanDuel3 min ago	−136Best	+102Best

Prices as of 6:39 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

6.5

Over −138 → −136 since first seen

Naji Marshall's full game log and splits