Naji Marshall

Dallas Mavericks · F · #3

DAL @ SA · Tomorrow 9:30 PM

Over Under3.5

Over 3.5 Assists, typical price +1182 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tomorrow

Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

3 of his last 4 came before Marshall missed 3 games. Since he came back: Over 3.5 in 1 of 1.

TomorrowBack from an absence
Tomorrow's game is his 2nd back after missing 3 games in a row (Oct 26 – Oct 30)
Over 3.5 since: 1 of 1
Teammate out
Max Christie: Out (hip)
Over 3.5 without him: 2 of 5; with him: 32 of 73 (78 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Dereck Lively II: Out (foot)
Over 3.5 without him: 32 of 71; with him: 2 of 7 (78 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
SA allow 7.3 assists a game to forwards: 20th most of 30
7 games

60%6 of 10L10

Over 3.5 Assists cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).

vs GS, 2026-03-23: 7, cleared, 35 min
at DEN, 2026-03-25: 3, missed, 30 min
at POR, 2026-03-27: 3, missed, 33 min
vs ORL, 2026-04-03: 2, missed, 24 min
vs LAL, 2026-04-05: 7, cleared, 32 min
at LAC, 2026-04-07: 0, missed, 20 min
at HOU, 2026-10-21: 6, cleared, 29 min
at IND, 2026-10-23: 6, cleared, 33 min
vs SA, 2026-10-24: 5, cleared, 21 min
vs SAC, 2026-11-02: 7, cleared, 24 min

ClearedMissedThe 3.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 3.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 3.5 · L10

Cooper FlaggF
Kyrie IrvingG
P.J. WashingtonF
Max ChristieGOut
Dereck Lively IICOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tomorrow. Only games they were teammates on the Mavericks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs SA

Assists: 5 in 21 min, Oct 24 (home)

Over 3.5 hit in 4 of 11 games against SA on record

L10 · Over 3.5

Average: 4.6; +1.1 vs line
Median: 5.5; +2 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 46%; at +118
Books’ fair: 43%; margin removed
Minutes: 28.1; 10 games · 29.5 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 3.5 43%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−6501 book	—	9/10
−1691 book	+1281 book	8/10
+1182 books	−1581 book	6/10
+2971 book	—	6/10
+5002 books	—	5/10
+12201 book	—	3/10
+15001 book	—	0/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 3.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 3.5	Under 3.5
DraftKings5 min ago	+137Best	—
FanDuel5 min ago	+118	−158Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 11:54 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

2.5 → 3.5 since first seen

Naji Marshall's full game log and splits