Matas Buzelis

Chicago Bulls · F · #14

CHI @ NY · Live

Over Under19.5

Over 19.5 Pts+Reb+Ast, typical price −1205 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 19.5 Pts+Reb+Ast cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 6 on the road).

vs IND, 2026-04-01: 32, cleared, 29 min
at NY, 2026-04-03: 17, missed, 23 min
vs ORL, 2026-04-10: 25, cleared, 27 min
at TOR, 2026-10-21: 23, cleared, 25 min
at MIL, 2026-10-23: 15, missed, 17 min
vs WSH, 2026-10-24: 28, cleared, 35 min
at BOS, 2026-10-26: 14, missed, 22 min
vs NY, 2026-10-28: 25, cleared, 33 min
at BOS, 2026-10-30: 20, cleared, 20 min
at PHI, 2026-11-02: 9, missed, 23 min

ClearedMissedThe 19.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 10.6–32.8 pts+reb+ast.

What's different yesterday

Over 19.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Defense vs forwards
NY allow 71.6 points + rebounds + assists a game to forwards: 13th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 26.6 min · 2025–26: 29.2 (77 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at PHI
3rd straight road game
Pace · possessions a game · 7 games
NY 25th, CHI 1st of 30

Splits

Over 19.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 19.5 · L10

Caleb WilsonF
Norman PowellG
Josh GiddeyG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Bulls count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs NY

Pts+Reb+Ast: 25 in 33 min, Oct 28 (home)

Over 19.5 hit in 2 of 8 games against NY on record

L10 · Over 19.5

Average: 20.8; +1.3 vs line
Median: 21.5; +2 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 55%; at −120
Books’ fair: 51%; margin removed
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −134

Research, not a pick. At −118 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −134, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−24001 book	—	9/10
−4352 books	—	8/10
−1205 books	−1112 books	6/10
+2242 books	—	4/10
+5701 book	—	1/10
+13401 book	—	0/10
+25001 book	—	0/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 19.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 19.5 Pts+Reb+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 19.5	Under 19.5
betPARX16 hr ago	−118Best	—
Pinnacle16 hr ago	−119	−111
Bally Bet16 hr ago	−120	—
BetRivers16 hr ago	−120	—
DraftKings16 hr ago	−120	−109Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:41 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

19.5

20.5 → 19.5 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+2%

Matas Buzelis's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:43 PM ET.