Matas Buzelis

Chicago Bulls · F · #14

CHI @ NY · Live

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Blocks, typical price −2002 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Blocks cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 on the road).

vs IND, 2026-04-01: 0, missed, 29 min
at NY, 2026-04-03: 0, missed, 23 min
vs ORL, 2026-04-10: 3, cleared, 27 min
at TOR, 2026-10-21: 2, cleared, 25 min
at MIL, 2026-10-23: 1, cleared, 17 min
vs WSH, 2026-10-24: 0, missed, 35 min
at BOS, 2026-10-26: 0, missed, 22 min
vs NY, 2026-10-28: 1, cleared, 33 min
at BOS, 2026-10-30: 0, missed, 20 min
at PHI, 2026-11-02: 1, cleared, 23 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 0–2 blocks.

What's different yesterday

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Defense vs forwards
NY allow 2.7 blocks a game to forwards: 4th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 26.6 min · 2025–26: 29.2 (77 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at PHI
3rd straight road game
Pace · possessions a game · 7 games
NY 25th, CHI 1st of 30

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Caleb WilsonF
Norman PowellG
Josh GiddeyG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Bulls count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs NY

Blocks: 1 in 33 min, Oct 28 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 4 of 8 games against NY on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.8; +0.3 vs line
Median: 0.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 67%; at −200
Books’ fair: 60%; margin removed
Our chance: 62%; estimate · fair −162

Research, not a pick. At −175 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −162, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2002 books	+1311 book	5/10
+2302 books	—	2/10
+8801 book	—	1/10
+22001 book	—	0/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Blocks, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings13 hr ago	−175Best	+131Best
Bally Bet13 hr ago	−200	—

Prices as of 7:41 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: −178 → −200 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+2%

Matas Buzelis's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:43 PM ET.