Malik Monk
SA @ SAC · Today 10:00 PMGame log against Under 15.5
86%6 of 7L20 · Without Raynaud
Under 15.5 Pts+Reb hit in 6 of 7 games without Maxime Raynaud (his last 20 games).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 2.8–23.1 pts+reb.
What's different today
Under 15.5 · facts from past games, not a pick3 of his 9 hits in the last 10 came with Maxime Raynaud playing; Raynaud is out today. Without him: Under 15.5 in 9 of 14.
TodayTeammate out
Maxime Raynaud: Out (knee)
Under 15.5 without him: 9 of 14; with him: 31 of 55 (69 games as teammates)
TodayGame lines
SAC +17.5 · total 231.5 (8 sportsbooks): a big spread
SAC's games this season closed at 231.9 on average (8 games)
Teammate out
Keegan Murray: Out (ankle)
Under 15.5 without him: 23 of 37; with him: 13 of 20 (57 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 17.8 min · 2025–26: 22 (62 games)
Splits
Under 15.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 15.5 · L20Darius Acuff Jr.G
Zach LaVineG
Maxime RaynaudCOut
Keegan MurrayFOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Kings count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs SA
Pts+Reb: 5 in 13 min, Oct 27 (away)
Under 15.5 hit in 1 of 8 games against SA on record
L20 · Without Raynaud · Under 15.5
- Average
- 9.1
- −6.4 vs line
- Median
- 7
- −8.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 86%
- 6 of 7
- Price implies
- 56%
- at −125
- Books’ fair
- 53%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 60%
- estimate · fair −151
Research, not a pick. At −125 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −151, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L20 · Without Raynaud| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −4805 books | — | 5/7 | |
| −1801 book | +1351 book | 5/7 | |
| −1246 books | −1122 books | 5/7 | |
| +1025 books | −1253 books | 6/7 | |
| +2305 books | — | 6/7 | |
| +5572 books | — | 6/7 | |
| +12002 books | — | 7/7 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 15.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 15.5 | Under 15.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada3 min ago | −105 | −125Best |
| DraftKings3 min ago | −105 | −125Best |
| betPARX2 min ago | +102Best | −137 |
| Bally Bet3 min ago | +102Best | — |
| BetRivers2 min ago | +102Best | — |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 5:00 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
15.514.5 → 15.5 since first seen


