Malik Monk
SA @ SAC · Today 10:00 PM
Game log against Under 19.5
86%6 of 7L20 · Without Raynaud
Under 19.5 Pts+Reb+Ast hit in 6 of 7 games without Maxime Raynaud (his last 20 games).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 5.1–28.6 pts+reb+ast.
What's different today
Under 19.5 · facts from past games, not a pick3 of his 9 hits in the last 10 came with Maxime Raynaud playing; Raynaud is out today. Without him: Under 19.5 in 12 of 14.
TodayTeammate out
Maxime Raynaud: Out (knee)
Under 19.5 without him: 12 of 14; with him: 31 of 55 (69 games as teammates)
TodayGame lines
SAC +17.5 · total 231.5 (8 sportsbooks): a big spread
SAC's games this season closed at 231.9 on average (8 games)
Teammate out
Keegan Murray: Out (ankle)
Under 19.5 without him: 21 of 37; with him: 14 of 20 (57 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
SA allow 88.3 points + rebounds + assists a game to guards: 15th most of 30
8 games
Splits
Under 19.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 19.5 · L20Darius Acuff Jr.G
Zach LaVineG
Maxime RaynaudCOut
Keegan MurrayFOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Kings count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs SA
Pts+Reb+Ast: 11 in 13 min, Oct 27 (away)
Under 19.5 hit in 2 of 8 games against SA on record
L20 · Without Raynaud · Under 19.5
- Average
- 12.6
- −6.9 vs line
- Median
- 11
- −8.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 86%
- 6 of 7
- Price implies
- 54%
- at −116
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 57%
- estimate · fair −131
Research, not a pick. At −105 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −131, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L20 · Without Raynaud| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1501 book | +1151 book | 5/7 | |
| −2002 books | −1102 books | 5/7 | |
| −1602 books | −1402 books | 6/7 | |
| −1254 books | −1163 books | 6/7 | |
| −1072 books | −1302 books | 6/7 | |
| +1201 book | −1601 book | 6/7 | |
| +1922 books | — | 6/7 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 19.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 19.5 | Under 19.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada5 min ago | −125 | −105Best |
| Pinnacle5 min ago | −114 | −116 |
| FanDuel3 min ago | −110Best | −120 |
| DraftKings5 min ago | −132 | — |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 4:25 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
19.5−118 → −116 since first seen