Luka Doncic

Los Angeles Lakers · G · #77

POR @ LAL · Today 10:00 PM

Over Under34.5

Over 34.5 Points, typical price −1152 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Over 34.5 Points cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 at home).

vs CLE, 2026-03-31: 42, cleared, 34 min
at OKC, 2026-04-02: 12, missed, 26 min
vs GS, 2026-10-21: 28, missed, 30 min
vs LAC, 2026-10-23: 23, missed, 37 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-25: 52, cleared, 38 min
vs POR, 2026-10-27: 41, cleared, 37 min
at GS, 2026-10-30: 37, cleared, 37 min
vs TOR, 2026-11-01: 45, cleared, 35 min
vs MIA, 2026-11-02: 42, cleared, 36 min
at SAC, 2026-11-04: 40, cleared, 35 min

ClearedMissedThe 34.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 22.6–51.6 points.

What's different today

Over 34.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Defense vs guards
POR allow 53.6 points a game to guards: 20th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 36 min · 2026–27: 35.6 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 at SAC
Game lines
LAL −2.5 · total 233.5 (8 sportsbooks)
LAL's games this season closed at 231.7 on average (9 games)

Splits

Over 34.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 34.5 · L10

Austin ReavesG
Walker KesslerC
Collin SextonG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Lakers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs POR

Points: 41 in 37 min, Oct 27 (home)

Over 34.5 hit in 4 of 6 games against POR on record

L10 · Over 34.5

Average: 36.2; +1.7 vs line
Median: 40.5; +6 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −115
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −131

Research, not a pick. At −113 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −131, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−60001 book	—	9/10
−10002 books	—	8/10
−3102 books	—	7/10
−1152 books	−1152 books	7/10
−1041 book	−1281 book	7/10
+2001 book	—	6/10
+3992 books	—	2/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 34.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 34.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 34.5	Under 34.5
DraftKings4 min ago	−113Best	−113Best
Pinnacle4 min ago	−115	−115
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 3:05 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

34.5

−122 → −115 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%

Luka Doncic's full game log and splits