Luka Doncic

Los Angeles Lakers · G · #77

POR @ LAL · Today 10:00 PM

Over Under49.5

Over 49.5 Pts+Reb+Ast, typical price −1253 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 49.5 Pts+Reb+Ast cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 at home).

vs CLE, 2026-03-31: 59, cleared, 34 min
at OKC, 2026-04-02: 23, missed, 26 min
vs GS, 2026-10-21: 43, missed, 30 min
vs LAC, 2026-10-23: 36, missed, 37 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-25: 70, cleared, 38 min
vs POR, 2026-10-27: 55, cleared, 37 min
at GS, 2026-10-30: 49, missed, 37 min
vs TOR, 2026-11-01: 66, cleared, 35 min
vs MIA, 2026-11-02: 62, cleared, 36 min
at SAC, 2026-11-04: 56, cleared, 35 min

ClearedMissedThe 49.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 34.3–70.2 pts+reb+ast.

What's different today

Over 49.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayDefense vs guards
POR allow 77.1 points + rebounds + assists a game to guards: 28th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 36 min · 2026–27: 35.6 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 at SAC
Game lines
LAL −2.5 · total 233.5 (8 sportsbooks)
LAL's games this season closed at 231.7 on average (9 games)

Splits

Over 49.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 49.5 · L10

Austin ReavesG
Walker KesslerC
Collin SextonG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Lakers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs POR

Pts+Reb+Ast: 55 in 37 min, Oct 27 (home)

Over 49.5 hit in 4 of 6 games against POR on record

L10 · Over 49.5

Average: 51.9; +2.4 vs line
Median: 55.5; +6 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 56%; at −125
Books’ fair: 51%; margin removed
Our chance: 56%; estimate · fair −127

Research, not a pick. At −119 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −127, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−15801 book	—	9/10
−5931 book	—	8/10
−2721 book	—	7/10
−1253 books	−1112 books	6/10
−1131 book	−1161 book	6/10
+1541 book	—	6/10
+2951 book	—	3/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 49.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 49.5 Pts+Reb+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 49.5	Under 49.5
Pinnacle8 min ago	−119Best	−111
FanDuel3 min ago	−125	−106Best
DraftKings8 min ago	−130	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 4:34 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

49.5

−122 → −125 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%

Luka Doncic's full game log and splits