Luka Doncic

Los Angeles Lakers · G · #77

POR @ LAL · Today 10:00 PM

Over Under6.5

Over 6.5 Assists, typical price −1582 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

80%8 of 10L10

Over 6.5 Assists cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (5 of 6 at home).

vs CLE, 2026-03-31: 12, cleared, 34 min
at OKC, 2026-04-02: 7, cleared, 26 min
vs GS, 2026-10-21: 7, cleared, 30 min
vs LAC, 2026-10-23: 7, cleared, 37 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-25: 10, cleared, 38 min
vs POR, 2026-10-27: 9, cleared, 37 min
at GS, 2026-10-30: 5, missed, 37 min
vs TOR, 2026-11-01: 6, missed, 35 min
vs MIA, 2026-11-02: 13, cleared, 36 min
at SAC, 2026-11-04: 7, cleared, 35 min

ClearedMissedThe 6.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 4–11 assists.

What's different today

Over 6.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayDefense vs guards
POR allow 12.3 assists a game to guards: the fewest of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 36 min · 2026–27: 35.6 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 at SAC
Game lines
LAL −2.5 · total 232.5 (8 sportsbooks)
LAL's games this season closed at 231.7 on average (9 games)

Splits

Over 6.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 6.5 · L10

Austin ReavesG
Walker KesslerC
Collin SextonG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Lakers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs POR

Assists: 9 in 37 min, Oct 27 (home)

Over 6.5 hit in 5 of 6 games against POR on record

L10 · Over 6.5

Average: 8.3; +1.8 vs line
Median: 7; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 8 of 10
Price implies: 61%; at −158
Books’ fair: 57%; margin removed
Our chance: 62%; estimate · fair −163

Research, not a pick. At −158 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −163, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−22001 book	—	10/10
−3101 book	—	9/10
−1582 books	+1182 books	8/10
+1241 book	—	4/10
+3301 book	—	3/10
+9001 book	—	2/10
+22001 book	—	0/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 6.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 6.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 6.5	Under 6.5
FanDuel2 min ago	−158Best	+118Best
Pinnacle3 min ago	−158Best	+118Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 12:51 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

6.5

No move since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%

Luka Doncic's full game log and splits