LeBron James

Philadelphia 76ers · F · #23

PHI @ DET · Live

Over Under28.5

Over 28.5 Pts+Reb+Ast, typical price −1031 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

80%8 of 10L10

Over 28.5 Pts+Reb+Ast cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 on the road).

at OKC, 2026-05-05: 37, cleared, 36 min
at OKC, 2026-05-07: 31, cleared, 38 min
vs OKC, 2026-05-09: 33, cleared, 37 min
vs OKC, 2026-05-11: 39, cleared, 40 min
at NY, 2026-10-20: 30, cleared, 34 min
vs CLE, 2026-10-22: 32, cleared, 33 min
vs DET, 2026-10-25: 25, missed, 33 min
at IND, 2026-10-28: 28, missed, 33 min
vs NY, 2026-10-30: 37, cleared, 34 min
vs CHI, 2026-11-02: 31, cleared, 31 min

ClearedMissedThe 28.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 23–43 pts+reb+ast.

What's different yesterday

Over 28.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Dominick Barlow: Out (back)
Over 28.5 without him: 4 of 6; with him: no games (6 games as teammates)
New team
6 games with PHI; before that, LAL
Over 28.5 with PHI: 4 of 6; his last 10 games before: 9 of 10
Defense vs forwards
DET allow 68.9 points + rebounds + assists a game to forwards: 15th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 32.8 min · 2025–26: 33.9 (70 games)

Splits

Over 28.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 28.5 · L10

Tyrese MaxeyG
Joel EmbiidC
Jaylen BrownG
Dominick BarlowFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the 76ers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs DET

Pts+Reb+Ast: 25 in 33 min, Oct 25 (home)

Over 28.5 hit in 4 of 6 games against DET on record

L10 · Over 28.5

Average: 32.3; +3.8 vs line
Median: 31.5; +3 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 8 of 10
Price implies: 51%; at −103
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Our chance: 60%; estimate · fair −150

Research, not a pick. At −103 the price beats our fair −150, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−7801 book	—	10/10
−2272 books	—	10/10
−1382 books	−1052 books	9/10
−1031 book	pick'em only	8/10
+1182 books	—	8/10
+2802 books	—	3/10
+7401 book	—	0/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 28.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 28.5 Pts+Reb+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 28.5	Under 28.5
Bally Bet16 hr ago	−103Best	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:13 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

28.5

27.5 → 28.5 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%

LeBron James's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:13 PM ET.