LeBron James

Philadelphia 76ers · F · #23

PHI @ DET · Tomorrow 7:00 PM

Over Under21.5

Over 21.5 Pts+Ast, typical price −1035 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 21.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Dominick Barlow: Out (back)
Over 21.5 without him: 5 of 6; with him: no games (6 games as teammates)
New team
6 games with PHI; before that, LAL
Over 21.5 with PHI: 5 of 6; his last 10 games before: 9 of 10
Minutes
Last 5: 32.8 min · 2025–26: 33.9 (70 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs CHI

90%9 of 10L10

Over 21.5 Pts+Ast cleared in 9 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 on the road).

at OKC, 2026-05-05: 33, cleared, 36 min
at OKC, 2026-05-07: 29, cleared, 38 min
vs OKC, 2026-05-09: 27, cleared, 37 min
vs OKC, 2026-05-11: 27, cleared, 40 min
at NY, 2026-10-20: 21, missed, 34 min
vs CLE, 2026-10-22: 22, cleared, 33 min
vs DET, 2026-10-25: 23, cleared, 33 min
at IND, 2026-10-28: 23, cleared, 33 min
vs NY, 2026-10-30: 28, cleared, 34 min
vs CHI, 2026-11-02: 24, cleared, 31 min

ClearedMissedThe 21.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 18.3–35 pts+ast.

Splits

Over 21.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 21.5 · L10

Tyrese MaxeyG
Joel EmbiidC
Jaylen BrownG
Dominick BarlowFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the 76ers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs DET

Pts+Ast: 23 in 33 min, Oct 25 (home)

Over 21.5 hit in 5 of 6 games against DET on record

L10 · Over 21.5

Average: 25.7; +4.2 vs line
Median: 25.5; +4 vs line
Hit rate: 90%; 9 of 10
Price implies: 51%; at −103
Books’ fair: 49%; margin removed
Our chance: 63%; estimate · fair −169

Research, not a pick. At −103 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −169, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−1594 books	—	10/10
−1035 books	−1143 books	9/10
+1853 books	—	5/10
+12601 book	—	0/10
+25001 book	—	0/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 21.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 21.5 Pts+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 21.5	Under 21.5
Bally Bet5 min ago	−103Best	—
betPARX5 min ago	−103Best	−132
BetRivers6 min ago	−103Best	—
FanDuel5 min ago	−114	−114Best
DraftKings11 min ago	−115	−114Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:18 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

21.5

Over −114 → −103 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%

LeBron James's full game log and splits