LeBron James

Philadelphia 76ers · F · #23

PHI @ DET · Tomorrow 7:00 PM

Over Under5.5

Over 5.5 Rebounds, typical price −1434 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 5.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Dominick Barlow: Out (back)
Over 5.5 without him: 4 of 6; with him: no games (6 games as teammates)
New team
6 games with PHI; before that, LAL
Over 5.5 with PHI: 4 of 6; his last 10 games before: 6 of 10
Defense vs forwards
DET allow 20.3 rebounds a game to forwards: 11th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 32.8 min · 2025–26: 33.9 (70 games)

60%6 of 10L10

Over 5.5 Rebounds cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 on the road).

at OKC, 2026-05-05: 4, missed, 36 min
at OKC, 2026-05-07: 2, missed, 38 min
vs OKC, 2026-05-09: 6, cleared, 37 min
vs OKC, 2026-05-11: 12, cleared, 40 min
at NY, 2026-10-20: 9, cleared, 34 min
vs CLE, 2026-10-22: 10, cleared, 33 min
vs DET, 2026-10-25: 2, missed, 33 min
at IND, 2026-10-28: 5, missed, 33 min
vs NY, 2026-10-30: 9, cleared, 34 min
vs CHI, 2026-11-02: 7, cleared, 31 min

ClearedMissedThe 5.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 2.7–10.3 rebounds.

Splits

Over 5.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 5.5 · L10

Tyrese MaxeyG
Joel EmbiidC
Jaylen BrownG
Dominick BarlowFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the 76ers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs DET

Rebounds: 2 in 33 min, Oct 25 (home)

Over 5.5 hit in 3 of 6 games against DET on record

L10 · Over 5.5

Average: 6.6; +1.1 vs line
Median: 6.5; +1 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 59%; at −143
Books’ fair: 55%; margin removed
Our chance: 59%; estimate · fair −146

Research, not a pick. At −141 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −146, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−5904 books	—	8/10
−1434 books	+1073 books	6/10
+2004 books	—	4/10
+5401 book	—	2/10
+14001 book	—	1/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 5.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 5.5 Rebounds, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 5.5	Under 5.5
betPARX5 min ago	−141Best	+107
Bally Bet4 min ago	−143	—
BetRivers5 min ago	−143	+106
FanDuel3 min ago	−154	+116Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 3:19 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

5.5

−154 → −143 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%

LeBron James's full game log and splits