LeBron James

Philadelphia 76ers · F · #23

PHI @ DET · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under20.5

Over 20.5 Pts+Reb, typical price −1185 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 20.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Dominick Barlow: Out (back)
Over 20.5 without him: 4 of 6; with him: no games (6 games as teammates)
New team
6 games with PHI; before that, LAL
Over 20.5 with PHI: 4 of 6; his last 10 games before: 9 of 10
Minutes
Last 5: 32.8 min · 2025–26: 33.9 (70 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs CHI

80%8 of 10L10

Over 20.5 Pts+Reb cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 on the road).

at OKC, 2026-05-05: 31, cleared, 36 min
at OKC, 2026-05-07: 25, cleared, 38 min
vs OKC, 2026-05-09: 25, cleared, 37 min
vs OKC, 2026-05-11: 36, cleared, 40 min
at NY, 2026-10-20: 23, cleared, 34 min
vs CLE, 2026-10-22: 27, cleared, 33 min
vs DET, 2026-10-25: 20, missed, 33 min
at IND, 2026-10-28: 18, missed, 33 min
vs NY, 2026-10-30: 29, cleared, 34 min
vs CHI, 2026-11-02: 22, cleared, 31 min

ClearedMissedThe 20.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 17.3–34.5 pts+reb.

Splits

Over 20.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 20.5 · L10

Tyrese MaxeyG
Joel EmbiidC
Jaylen BrownG
Dominick BarlowFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the 76ers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs DET

Pts+Reb: 20 in 33 min, Oct 25 (home)

Over 20.5 hit in 5 of 6 games against DET on record

L10 · Over 20.5

Average: 25.6; +5.1 vs line
Median: 25; +4.5 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 8 of 10
Price implies: 54%; at −118
Books’ fair: 52%; margin removed
Our chance: 63%; estimate · fair −172

Research, not a pick. At −118 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −172, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−5521 book	—	10/10
−1485 books	+1201 book	9/10
−1185 books	−1053 books	8/10
−1062 books	−1302 books	8/10
+1904 books	—	6/10
+4691 book	—	2/10
+11201 book	—	1/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks at 20.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 20.5 Pts+Reb, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 20.5	Under 20.5
Bally Bet7 min ago	−118Best	—
betPARX3 min ago	−118Best	−115
BetRivers3 min ago	−118Best	—
Bovada7 min ago	−125	−105
DraftKings8 min ago	−126	−104Best

Prices as of 3:09 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

20.5

21.5 → 20.5 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%

LeBron James's full game log and splits