LeBron James
CHI @ PHI · Mon, Nov 2 7:30 PM
Game log against Over 16.5
80%8 of 10L10
Over 16.5 Points cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (5 of 5 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 13.4–28.9 points.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Over 16.5
- Average
- 20.3
- +3.8 vs line
- Median
- 19.5
- +3 vs line
- Hit rate
- 80%
- 8 of 10
- Price implies
- 55%
- at −121
- Books’ fair
- 51%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 63%
- estimate · fair −169
Research, not a pick. At −115 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −169, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2505 books | +1901 book | 9/10 | |
| −2022 books | +1451 book | 8/10 | |
| −1525 books | +1151 book | 8/10 | |
| −1215 books | −1094 books | 8/10 | |
| +1046 books | −1352 books | 7/10 | |
| +1332 books | −1801 book | 6/10 | |
| +1605 books | −2301 book | 5/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 16.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 16.5 | Under 16.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada21 hr ago | −115Best | −115 |
| Bally Bet21 hr ago | −121 | — |
| betPARX21 hr ago | −121 | −110 |
| BetRivers21 hr ago | −124 | −109 |
| FanDuel21 hr ago | −125 | −102Best |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
16.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+4%
This page last updated 7:37 PM ET.