LeBron James
CHI @ PHI · Mon, Nov 2 7:30 PMGame log against Over 30.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 30.5 Pts+Reb+Ast cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 24.1–46.4 pts+reb+ast.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Over 30.5
- Average
- 33.5
- +3 vs line
- Median
- 32.5
- +2 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −115
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 60%
- estimate · fair −149
Research, not a pick. At −113 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −149, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −3603 books | — | 10/10 | |
| −1363 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −1154 books | −1173 books | 7/10 | |
| +1051 book | −1391 book | 6/10 | |
| +1703 books | — | 4/10 | |
| +3753 books | — | 1/10 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 30.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 30.5 | Under 30.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet18 hr ago | −113Best | — |
| betPARX18 hr ago | −113Best | −118 |
| BetRivers18 hr ago | −117 | −117 |
| FanDuel18 hr ago | −120 | −106Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
30.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+4%
This page last updated 7:37 PM ET.


