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LeBron James

Philadelphia 76ers · F · #23

CHI @ PHI · Mon, Nov 2 7:30 PM
OverUnder1.5
Under 1.5 Steals, typical price −1944 sportsbooks · consensus line

Game log against Under 1.5

70%7 of 10L10

Under 1.5 Steals hit in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).

  1. at HOU, 2026-05-01: 0, hit
  2. at OKC, 2026-05-05: 1, hit
  3. at OKC, 2026-05-07: 3, missed
  4. vs OKC, 2026-05-09: 1, hit
  5. vs OKC, 2026-05-11: 0, hit
  6. at NY, 2026-10-20: 1, hit
  7. vs CLE, 2026-10-22: 3, missed
  8. vs DET, 2026-10-25: 2, missed
  9. at IND, 2026-10-28: 1, hit
  10. vs NY, 2026-10-30: 1, hit
Under hitMissedThe 1.5 line

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–3 steals.

No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.

L10 · Under 1.5

Average
1.3
−0.2 vs line
Median
1
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
70%
7 of 10
Price implies
66%
at −194
Books’ fair
62%
margin removed
Our chance
59%
estimate · fair −143

Research, not a pick. At −188 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −143, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−3054 books—2/10
+1454 books−1942 books7/10
+4204 books—8/10
+11001 book—10/10
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Steals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 1.5Under 1.5
FanDuel12 hr ago+140−188Best
betPARX12 hr ago+145Best−200
Bally Bet12 hr ago+145Best—
BetRivers12 hr ago+145Best—
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 7:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

No opening line kept for this market yet.

No line history recorded for this market yet.

What moved our number

Pace+4%
LeBron James's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:37 PM ET.