LeBron James

Philadelphia 76ers · F · #23

PHI @ DET · Tomorrow 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 3-Pointers Made, typical price −1826 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Dominick Barlow: Out (back)
Over 0.5 without him: 3 of 6; with him: no games (6 games as teammates)
New team
6 games with PHI; before that, LAL
Over 0.5 with PHI: 3 of 6; his last 10 games before: 8 of 10
Defense vs forwards
DET allow 4.9 threes made a game to forwards: 12th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 32.8 min · 2025–26: 33.9 (70 games)

70%7 of 10L10

Over 0.5 3-Pointers Made cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 on the road).

at OKC, 2026-05-05: 3, cleared, 36 min
at OKC, 2026-05-07: 1, cleared, 38 min
vs OKC, 2026-05-09: 2, cleared, 37 min
vs OKC, 2026-05-11: 2, cleared, 40 min
at NY, 2026-10-20: 0, missed, 34 min
vs CLE, 2026-10-22: 1, cleared, 33 min
vs DET, 2026-10-25: 0, missed, 33 min
at IND, 2026-10-28: 2, cleared, 33 min
vs NY, 2026-10-30: 2, cleared, 34 min
vs CHI, 2026-11-02: 0, missed, 31 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–3 3-pointers made.

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Tyrese MaxeyG
Joel EmbiidC
Jaylen BrownG
Dominick BarlowFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the 76ers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs DET

3-Pointers Made: 0 in 33 min, Oct 25 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 5 of 6 games against DET on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 1.3; +0.8 vs line
Median: 1.5; +1 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 65%; at −182
Books’ fair: 61%; margin removed
Our chance: 66%; estimate · fair −190

Research, not a pick. At −180 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −190, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−1826 books	+1365 books	7/10
+2406 books	—	5/10
+8592 books	—	1/10
+19902 books	—	0/10
+40001 book	—	0/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 3-Pointers Made, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Bally Bet4 min ago	−180Best	—
betPARX3 min ago	−180Best	+133
BetRivers3 min ago	−182	+132
FanDuel2 min ago	−182	+136
Bovada4 min ago	−190	+145Best
DraftKings12 min ago	−193	+145Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 8:10 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

−220 → −182 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%

LeBron James's full game log and splits