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Kris Dunn

LA Clippers · G · #8

MIA @ LAC · Today 10:30 PM
OverUnder4.5
Under 4.5 Rebounds, typical price −1532 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Under 4.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • TodayDefense vs guards

    MIA allow 18.3 rebounds a game to guards: 3rd most of 30

    7 games

  • Teammate out

    Jordan Miller: Out (shoulder)

    Under 4.5 without him: 15 of 20; with him: 40 of 60 (80 games as teammates)

  • Teammate out

    Bradley Beal: Out (knee)

    Under 4.5 without him: 57 of 83; with him: 5 of 6 (89 games as teammates)

  • Minutes

    Last 5: 29.6 min · 2025–26: 27.2 (82 games)

Game log against Under 4.5

70%7 of 10L10

Under 4.5 Rebounds hit in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).

  1. vs OKC, 2026-04-08: 1, hit, 27 min
  2. at POR, 2026-04-10: 5, missed, 27 min
  3. vs GS, 2026-04-12: 1, hit, 22 min
  4. vs SAC, 2026-10-21: 5, missed, 27 min
  5. at LAL, 2026-10-23: 4, hit, 34 min
  6. at OKC, 2026-10-25: 4, hit, 33 min
  7. vs LAL, 2026-10-28: 3, hit, 27 min
  8. at MIN, 2026-10-30: 5, missed, 31 min
  9. at GS, 2026-11-01: 2, hit, 27 min
  10. vs TOR, 2026-11-02: 4, hit, 30 min
Under hitMissedThe 4.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0.5–7.2 rebounds.

Splits

Under 4.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIA in his last 10; Under 4.5 hit in 5 of 5 against MIA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 4.5 · L10

  • Darius GarlandG

  • Rui HachimuraF

  • Keaton WaglerG

  • Jordan MillerGOut

  • Bradley BealGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Clippers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIA

Rebounds: 4 in 26 min, Dec 1, 2025 (away)

Under 4.5 hit in 5 of 5 games against MIA on record

L10 · Under 4.5

Average
3.4
−1.1 vs line
Median
4
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
70%
7 of 10
Price implies
60%
at −153
Books’ fair
56%
margin removed
Our chance
59%
estimate · fair −145

Research, not a pick. At −152 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −145, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−4191 book—3/10
−1922 books—4/10
+1142 books−1532 books7/10
+2182 books—10/10
+4121 book—10/10
+7402 books—10/10
+13001 book—10/10
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 4.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 4.5 Rebounds, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 4.5Under 4.5
FanDuel2 min ago+114−152Best
DraftKings6 min ago+116Best−153
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 3:08 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

4.5

−154 → −153 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%
Kris Dunn's full game log and splits