Kris Dunn

LA Clippers · G · #8

MIA @ LAC · Tomorrow 10:30 PM

Over Under4.5

Over 4.5 Assists, typical price −1081 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 4.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightDefense vs guards
MIA allow 18.3 assists a game to guards: the most of 30
7 games
Teammate out
Jordan Miller: Out (shoulder)
Over 4.5 without him: 7 of 20; with him: 25 of 60 (80 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Bradley Beal: Out (knee)
Over 4.5 without him: 32 of 83; with him: 1 of 6 (89 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 29.6 min · 2025–26: 27.2 (82 games)

50%5 of 10L10

Over 4.5 Assists cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).

vs OKC, 2026-04-08: 6, cleared, 27 min
at POR, 2026-04-10: 1, missed, 27 min
vs GS, 2026-04-12: 3, missed, 22 min
vs SAC, 2026-10-21: 7, cleared, 27 min
at LAL, 2026-10-23: 5, cleared, 34 min
at OKC, 2026-10-25: 6, cleared, 33 min
vs LAL, 2026-10-28: 3, missed, 27 min
at MIN, 2026-10-30: 7, cleared, 31 min
at GS, 2026-11-01: 4, missed, 27 min
vs TOR, 2026-11-02: 1, missed, 30 min

ClearedMissedThe 4.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 4.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIA in his last 10; Over 4.5 cleared in 2 of 5 against MIA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 4.5 · L10

Darius GarlandG
Rui HachimuraF
Keaton WaglerG
Jordan MillerGOut
Bradley BealGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Clippers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIA

Assists: 5 in 26 min, Dec 1, 2025 (away)

Over 4.5 hit in 2 of 5 games against MIA on record

L10 · Over 4.5

Average: 4.3; −0.2 vs line
Median: 4.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 52%; at −108
Books’ fair: 49%; margin removed
Minutes: 28.5; 10 games · 27.2 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 4.5 49%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−25001 book	—	8/10
−2251 book	—	6/10
−1081 book	−1221 book	5/10
+1961 book	—	4/10
+6301 book	—	0/10
+15001 book	—	0/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 3 pick'em apps at 4.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 4.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 4.5	Under 4.5
FanDuel6 min ago	−108Best	−122Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 11:28 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

4.5

Over −106 → −108 since first seen

Kris Dunn's full game log and splits