Kingston Flemings

Atlanta Hawks · G · #4

WSH @ ATL · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under18.5

Under 18.5 Pts+Reb+Ast, typical price −1185 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%4 of 8L8

Under 18.5 Pts+Reb+Ast hit in 4 of his last 8 games (2 of 3 at home).

at ORL, 2026-10-21: 7, hit, 15 min
at CHA, 2026-10-23: 19, missed, 25 min
vs HOU, 2026-10-24: 5, hit, 15 min
at HOU, 2026-10-26: 10, hit, 18 min
vs MIA, 2026-10-28: 33, missed, 28 min
vs CLE, 2026-10-29: 8, hit, 16 min
at NO, 2026-10-31: 20, missed, 25 min
at WSH, 2026-11-04: 21, missed, 23 min

Under hitMissedThe 18.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 5.3–29.6 pts+reb+ast.

What's different today

Under 18.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Jalen Johnson: Out (ankle)
Under 18.5 without him: 0 of 1; with him: 4 of 7 (8 games as teammates). A small sample.
Teammate out
Jock Landale: Out (hip)
Under 18.5 without him: 0 of 1; with him: 4 of 7 (8 games as teammates). A small sample.
Defense vs guards
WSH allow 81.1 points + rebounds + assists a game to guards: 22nd most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 22 min · 2026–27: 20.6 (8 games)

Splits

Under 18.5 · L8 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 18.5 · L8

Jalen JohnsonFOut
Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG
CJ McCollumG
Jock LandaleCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Hawks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs WSH

Pts+Reb+Ast: 21 in 23 min, Nov 4 (away)

Under 18.5 hit in 0 of 1 games against WSH on record

L8 · Under 18.5

Average: 15.4; −3.1 vs line
Median: 14.5; −4 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 4 of 8
Price implies: 54%; at −118
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 51%; estimate · fair −102

Research, not a pick. At −110 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −102, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L8

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L8
−3055 books	—	4/8
−1901 book	+1451 book	4/8
−1501 book	+1151 book	4/8
−1145 books	−1184 books	4/8
+1076 books	−1352 books	5/8
+1301 book	−1701 book	6/8
+3005 books	—	7/8

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 18.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 18.5 Pts+Reb+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 18.5	Under 18.5
Bovada4 min ago	−120	−110Best
DraftKings5 min ago	−118	−111
betPARX2 min ago	−114Best	−118
BetRivers2 min ago	−114Best	−118
Bally Bet4 min ago	−114Best	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:13 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

18.5

No move since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%

Kingston Flemings's full game log and splits