Kingston Flemings

Atlanta Hawks · G · #4

WSH @ ATL · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under15.5

Under 15.5 Pts+Ast, typical price −1304 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

63%5 of 8L8

Under 15.5 Pts+Ast hit in 5 of his last 8 games (2 of 3 at home).

at ORL, 2026-10-21: 3, hit, 15 min
at CHA, 2026-10-23: 13, hit, 25 min
vs HOU, 2026-10-24: 4, hit, 15 min
at HOU, 2026-10-26: 9, hit, 18 min
vs MIA, 2026-10-28: 28, missed, 28 min
vs CLE, 2026-10-29: 7, hit, 16 min
at NO, 2026-10-31: 18, missed, 25 min
at WSH, 2026-11-04: 18, missed, 23 min

Under hitMissedThe 15.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 3.3–24.9 pts+ast.

What's different today

Under 15.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Jalen Johnson: Out (ankle)
Under 15.5 without him: 0 of 1; with him: 5 of 7 (8 games as teammates). A small sample.
Teammate out
Jock Landale: Out (hip)
Under 15.5 without him: 0 of 1; with him: 5 of 7 (8 games as teammates). A small sample.
Minutes
Last 5: 22 min · 2026–27: 20.6 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 at WSH

Splits

Under 15.5 · L8 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 15.5 · L8

Jalen JohnsonFOut
Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG
CJ McCollumG
Jock LandaleCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Hawks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs WSH

Pts+Ast: 18 in 23 min, Nov 4 (away)

Under 15.5 hit in 0 of 1 games against WSH on record

L8 · Under 15.5

Average: 12.5; −3 vs line
Median: 11; −4.5 vs line
Hit rate: 63%; 5 of 8
Price implies: 57%; at −130
Books’ fair: 52%; margin removed
Our chance: 55%; estimate · fair −120

Research, not a pick. At −125 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −120, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L8

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L8
−6254 books	—	4/8
−1323 books	−1051 book	5/8
−1044 books	−1302 books	5/8
+2504 books	—	7/8
+9701 book	—	7/8
+23001 book	—	8/8

Compare 4 sportsbooks at 15.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 15.5 Pts+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 15.5	Under 15.5
FanDuel2 min ago	−106	−125Best
betPARX2 min ago	−104Best	−130
Bally Bet5 min ago	−104Best	—
BetRivers2 min ago	−104Best	—

Prices as of 5:22 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

15.5

14.5 → 15.5 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%

Kingston Flemings's full game log and splits