Kingston Flemings

Atlanta Hawks · G · #4

WSH @ ATL · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under3.5

Under 3.5 Rebounds, typical price −1485 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

63%5 of 8L8

Under 3.5 Rebounds hit in 5 of his last 8 games (2 of 3 at home).

at ORL, 2026-10-21: 4, missed, 15 min
at CHA, 2026-10-23: 6, missed, 25 min
vs HOU, 2026-10-24: 1, hit, 15 min
at HOU, 2026-10-26: 1, hit, 18 min
vs MIA, 2026-10-28: 5, missed, 28 min
vs CLE, 2026-10-29: 1, hit, 16 min
at NO, 2026-10-31: 2, hit, 25 min
at WSH, 2026-11-04: 3, hit, 23 min

Under hitMissedThe 3.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0.1–6.7 rebounds.

What's different today

Under 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

2 of his last 3 came with Jalen Johnson playing; Johnson is out today. Without him: Under 3.5 in 1 of 1.

TodayTeammate out
Jalen Johnson: Out (ankle)
Under 3.5 without him: 1 of 1; with him: 4 of 7 (8 games as teammates). A small sample.
Teammate out
Jock Landale: Out (hip)
Under 3.5 without him: 1 of 1; with him: 4 of 7 (8 games as teammates). A small sample.
Defense vs guards
WSH allow 15.5 rebounds a game to guards: 12th most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 22 min · 2026–27: 20.6 (8 games)

Splits

Under 3.5 · L8 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 3.5 · L8

Jalen JohnsonFOut
Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG
CJ McCollumG
Jock LandaleCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Hawks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs WSH

Rebounds: 3 in 23 min, Nov 4 (away)

Under 3.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against WSH on record

L8 · Under 3.5

Average: 2.9; −0.6 vs line
Median: 2.5; −1 vs line
Hit rate: 63%; 5 of 8
Price implies: 60%; at −148
Books’ fair: 54%; margin removed
Our chance: 56%; estimate · fair −127

Research, not a pick. At −128 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −127, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L8

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L8
−6253 books	—	3/8
−2104 books	—	4/8
+1075 books	−1484 books	5/8
+2154 books	—	6/8
+4005 books	—	7/8
+7004 books	—	8/8
+15002 books	—	8/8

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 3.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 Rebounds, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 3.5	Under 3.5
FanDuel4 min ago	+100	−128Best
DraftKings5 min ago	+104	−136
betPARX4 min ago	+107Best	−148
BetRivers4 min ago	+107Best	−148
Bally Bet5 min ago	+107Best	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:20 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

5.5 → 3.5 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%

Kingston Flemings's full game log and splits