Kingston Flemings

Atlanta Hawks · G · #4

WSH @ ATL · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under9.5

Under 9.5 Points, typical price −1107 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

63%5 of 8L8

Under 9.5 Points hit in 5 of his last 8 games (2 of 3 at home).

at ORL, 2026-10-21: 0, hit, 15 min
at CHA, 2026-10-23: 5, hit, 25 min
vs HOU, 2026-10-24: 2, hit, 15 min
at HOU, 2026-10-26: 6, hit, 18 min
vs MIA, 2026-10-28: 23, missed, 28 min
vs CLE, 2026-10-29: 2, hit, 16 min
at NO, 2026-10-31: 12, missed, 25 min
at WSH, 2026-11-04: 14, missed, 23 min

Under hitMissedThe 9.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–19.9 points.

What's different today

Under 9.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Jalen Johnson: Out (ankle)
Under 9.5 without him: 0 of 1; with him: 5 of 7 (8 games as teammates). A small sample.
Teammate out
Jock Landale: Out (hip)
Under 9.5 without him: 0 of 1; with him: 5 of 7 (8 games as teammates). A small sample.
Defense vs guards
WSH allow 49.4 points a game to guards: 27th most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 22 min · 2026–27: 20.6 (8 games)

Splits

Under 9.5 · L8 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 9.5 · L8

Jalen JohnsonFOut
Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG
CJ McCollumG
Jock LandaleCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Hawks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs WSH

Points: 14 in 23 min, Nov 4 (away)

Under 9.5 hit in 0 of 1 games against WSH on record

L8 · Under 9.5

Average: 8; −1.5 vs line
Median: 5.5; −4 vs line
Hit rate: 63%; 5 of 8
Price implies: 52%; at −110
Books’ fair: 48%; margin removed
Our chance: 50%; estimate · fair −100

Research, not a pick. At +100 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −100, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L8

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L8
−4701 book	—	5/8
−2546 books	+1901 book	5/8
−2102 books	+1401 book	5/8
−1217 books	−1105 books	5/8
+1033 books	−1313 books	5/8
+1426 books	−1851 book	5/8
+1782 books	−2451 book	6/8

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 9.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 9.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 9.5	Under 9.5
Bovada7 min ago	−130	+100Best
DraftKings7 min ago	−127	−101
Pinnacle7 min ago	−120Best	−110
betPARX1 min ago	−121	−112
BetRivers1 min ago	−121	−112
Bally Bet7 min ago	−121	—
FanDuel1 min ago	−146	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:10 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

9.5

14.5 → 9.5 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%

Kingston Flemings's full game log and splits