Karlo Matkovic
MIN @ NO · Today 8:00 PMGame log against Over 4.5
30%3 of 10L10
Over 4.5 Rebounds cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 at home).
What's different today
Over 4.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayMinutes
Last 5: 22.8 min · 2025–26: 14.7 (62 games) · up 55%
Teammate out
Yves Missi: Out (knee)
Over 4.5 without him: 8 of 17; with him: 15 of 52 (69 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
MIN allow 15.1 rebounds a game to forwards: 27th most of 30
9 games
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 vs UTAH
Splits
Over 4.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against MIN in his last 10; Over 4.5 cleared in 1 of 4 against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 4.5 · L10Jeremiah FearsG
Dejounte MurrayG
Zion WilliamsonF
Yves MissiCOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Pelicans count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs MIN
Matkovic didn't play the Apr 12 meeting; rebounds the last time Matkovic faced them: 2 (Feb 6)
Over 4.5 hit in 1 of 4 games against MIN on record
L10 · Over 4.5
- Average
- 4.3
- −0.2 vs line
- Median
- 4
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 30%
- 3 of 10
- Price implies
- 50%
- at +100
- Books’ fair
- 47%
- margin removed
- Minutes
- 18
- 10 games · 14.7 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 4.5 47%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −14304 books | — | 9/10 | |
| −4005 books | — | 9/10 | |
| −1976 books | +1551 book | 6/10 | |
| +1006 books | −1325 books | 3/10 | |
| +1806 books | −2601 book | 3/10 | |
| +2955 books | — | 1/10 | |
| +4755 books | — | 1/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 4.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 4.5 | Under 4.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet3 min ago | +100Best | — |
| betPARX5 min ago | +100Best | −136 |
| BetRivers2 min ago | +100Best | −136 |
| Bovada3 min ago | +100Best | −130Best |
| DraftKings3 min ago | +100Best | −132 |
| FanDuel2 min ago | +100Best | −132 |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:55 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
4.5No move since first seen


