Karlo Matkovic
MIN @ NO · Today 8:00 PMGame log against Over 11.5
30%3 of 10L10
Over 11.5 Pts+Reb cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).
What's different today
Over 11.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayMinutes
Last 5: 22.8 min · 2025–26: 14.7 (62 games) · up 55%
Teammate out
Yves Missi: Out (knee)
Over 11.5 without him: 10 of 17; with him: 11 of 52 (69 games as teammates)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 vs UTAH
Game lines
NO +4.5 · total 231.5 (8 sportsbooks)
NO's games this season closed at 236.9 on average (8 games)
Splits
Over 11.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against MIN in his last 10; Over 11.5 cleared in 1 of 4 against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 11.5 · L10Jeremiah FearsG
Dejounte MurrayG
Zion WilliamsonF
Yves MissiCOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Pelicans count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs MIN
Matkovic didn't play the Apr 12 meeting; pts+reb the last time Matkovic faced them: 2 (Feb 6)
Over 11.5 hit in 1 of 4 games against MIN on record
L10 · Over 11.5
- Average
- 12.2
- +0.7 vs line
- Median
- 10.5
- −1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 30%
- 3 of 10
- Price implies
- 50%
- at +102
- Books’ fair
- 46%
- margin removed
- Minutes
- 18
- 10 games · 14.7 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 11.5 46%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −17001 book | — | 9/10 | |
| −1755 books | +1301 book | 6/10 | |
| −1282 books | −1052 books | 5/10 | |
| +1025 books | −1393 books | 3/10 | |
| +2154 books | — | 3/10 | |
| +8401 book | — | 1/10 | |
| +22001 book | — | 1/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks at 11.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 11.5 | Under 11.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada6 min ago | +110Best | −145 |
| Bally Bet6 min ago | +102 | — |
| betPARX5 min ago | +102 | −139 |
| BetRivers5 min ago | +102 | — |
| FanDuel4 min ago | +100 | −132Best |
Prices as of 8:45 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
11.5No move since first seen


