Karlo Matkovic

New Orleans Pelicans · F · #17

MIN @ NO · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 3-Pointers Made, typical price −1573 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 0.5 3-Pointers Made cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).

at DET, 2026-03-26: 0, missed, 15 min
at TOR, 2026-03-27: 0, missed, 17 min
vs HOU, 2026-03-29: 0, missed, 17 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-23: 0, missed, 9 min
at DEN, 2026-10-24: 1, cleared, 8 min
vs DEN, 2026-10-28: 1, cleared, 18 min
vs SAC, 2026-10-29: 1, cleared, 28 min
vs ATL, 2026-10-31: 2, cleared, 18 min
at MEM, 2026-11-02: 5, cleared, 29 min
vs UTAH, 2026-11-04: 1, cleared, 21 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–3 3-pointers made.

What's different today

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayDefense vs forwards
MIN allow 3.2 threes made a game to forwards: 29th most of 30
9 games
TodayMinutes
Last 5: 22.8 min · 2025–26: 14.7 (62 games) · up 55%
Teammate out
Yves Missi: Out (knee)
Over 0.5 without him: 13 of 17; with him: 23 of 52 (69 games as teammates)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 vs UTAH

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIN in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 0 of 4 against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Jeremiah FearsG
Dejounte MurrayG
Zion WilliamsonF
Yves MissiCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Pelicans count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIN

Matkovic didn't play the Apr 12 meeting; 3-pointers made the last time Matkovic faced them: 0 (Feb 6)

Over 0.5 hit in 0 of 4 games against MIN on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 1.1; +0.6 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 61%; at −157
Books’ fair: 57%; margin removed
Our chance: 64%; estimate · fair −174

Research, not a pick. At −155 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −174, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−1573 books	+1142 books	6/10
+2703 books	—	2/10
+8003 books	—	1/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 3-Pointers Made, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
betPARX5 min ago	−155Best	+115Best
Bally Bet5 min ago	−157	—
BetRivers6 min ago	−157	+114
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:44 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: No move since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+4%

Karlo Matkovic's full game log and splits