Julian Champagnie

San Antonio Spurs · F · #30

DAL @ SA · Tomorrow 9:30 PM

Over Under3.5

Over 3.5 Rebounds, typical price −1612 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Defense vs forwards
DAL allow 18.4 rebounds a game to forwards: 17th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 26.6 min · 2025–26: 28.3 (106 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs UTAH
Game lines
SA −11.5 · total 226.5 (10 sportsbooks)
SA's games this season closed at 229.4 on average (7 games)

50%5 of 10L10

Over 3.5 Rebounds cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 6 at home).

at NY, 2026-06-08: 1, missed, 27 min
at NY, 2026-06-10: 5, cleared, 33 min
vs NY, 2026-06-13: 7, cleared, 31 min
vs OKC, 2026-10-20: 3, missed, 30 min
vs HOU, 2026-10-23: 0, missed, 25 min
at DAL, 2026-10-24: 5, cleared, 28 min
vs SAC, 2026-10-27: 3, missed, 25 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-28: 6, cleared, 31 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-31: 3, missed, 27 min
vs UTAH, 2026-11-02: 6, cleared, 22 min

ClearedMissedThe 3.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 1.4–8.1 rebounds.

Splits

Over 3.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 3.5 · L10

Victor WembanyamaF
Stephon CastleG
De'Aaron FoxG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Spurs count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs DAL

Rebounds: 5 in 28 min, Oct 24 (away)

Over 3.5 hit in 5 of 9 games against DAL on record

L10 · Over 3.5

Average: 3.9; +0.4 vs line
Median: 4; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 62%; at −161
Books’ fair: 58%; margin removed
Our chance: 63%; estimate · fair −171

Research, not a pick. At −161 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −171, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−3821 book	—	8/10
−1612 books	+1221 book	5/10
+1342 books	−1861 book	5/10
+2672 books	—	3/10
+4741 book	—	1/10
+9512 books	—	0/10
+15001 book	—	0/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 3.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 Rebounds, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 3.5	Under 3.5
DraftKings10 min ago	−161Best	+122Best
FanDuel4 min ago	−162	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:35 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

4.5 → 3.5 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%

Julian Champagnie's full game log and splits