Julian Champagnie
UTAH @ SA · Mon, Nov 2 8:30 PM
Game log against Over 5.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 5.5 Reb+Ast cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 6 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 2.6–10.1 reb+ast.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Over 5.5
- Average
- 5.3
- −0.2 vs line
- Median
- 5.5
- ±0 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −111
- Books’ fair
- 49%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 57%
- estimate · fair −131
Research, not a pick. At −110 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −131, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2001 book | +1501 book | 6/10 | |
| −1113 books | −1193 books | 5/10 | |
| +1601 book | −2151 book | 3/10 | |
| +8001 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 5.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 5.5 | Under 5.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada26 hr ago | −110Best | −120 |
| DraftKings26 hr ago | −111 | −119 |
| FanDuel26 hr ago | −113 | −113Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
5.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+3%
This page last updated 8:37 PM ET.