Julian Champagnie
UTAH @ SA · Mon, Nov 2 8:30 PM
Game log against Over 9.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 9.5 Points cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 4.3–19.6 points.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Over 9.5
- Average
- 10.9
- +1.4 vs line
- Median
- 10
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −113
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 57%
- estimate · fair −131
Research, not a pick. At −104 (the best of 7 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −131, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −3001 book | — | 7/10 | |
| −2356 books | +1651 book | 7/10 | |
| −1552 books | +1151 book | 5/10 | |
| −1137 books | −1146 books | 5/10 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 5/10 | |
| +1202 books | −1651 book | 5/10 | |
| +1476 books | −2201 book | 5/10 |
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 9.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 9.5 | Under 9.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle22 hr ago | −104Best | −127 |
| Bovada22 hr ago | −110 | −120 |
| FanDuel22 hr ago | −111 | −115 |
| DraftKings22 hr ago | −113 | −113 |
| Bally Bet22 hr ago | −121 | — |
| betPARX22 hr ago | −121 | −109Best |
| BetRivers22 hr ago | −122 | −110 |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
9.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+3%
This page last updated 8:37 PM ET.