Julian Champagnie
UTAH @ SA · Mon, Nov 2 8:30 PM
Game log against Under 1.5
60%6 of 10L10
Under 1.5 Assists hit in 6 of his last 10 games (5 of 6 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–3 assists.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Under 1.5
- Average
- 1.6
- +0.1 vs line
- Median
- 1
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 63%
- at −170
- Books’ fair
- 59%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 56%
- estimate · fair −128
Research, not a pick. At −160 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −128, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −3652 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +1303 books | −1703 books | 6/10 | |
| +3603 books | — | 6/10 | |
| +9362 books | — | 10/10 | |
| +22402 books | — | 10/10 | |
| +50001 book | — | 10/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel18 hr ago | +124 | −160Best |
| Bovada18 hr ago | +130Best | −170 |
| DraftKings18 hr ago | +130Best | −172 |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+3%
This page last updated 8:37 PM ET.