John Collins

Detroit Pistons · F · #20

PHI @ DET · Live

Over only0.5

Over 0.5 Blocks, typical price −2052 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%3 of 5L20 · Without Duren

Over 0.5 Blocks cleared in 3 of 5 games without Jalen Duren (his last 20 games).

at NO, 2026-03-18: 1, cleared, 24 min (not counted)
at NO, 2026-03-19: 0, missed, 28 min (not counted)
at DAL, 2026-03-21: 2, cleared, 29 min (not counted)
vs TOR, 2026-03-25: 0, missed, 22 min (not counted)
at IND, 2026-03-27: 0, missed, 20 min (not counted)
at MIL, 2026-03-29: 1, cleared, 35 min (not counted)
vs POR, 2026-03-31: 0, missed, 31 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-04-02: 0, missed, 25 min (not counted)
at SAC, 2026-04-05: 0, missed, 24 min (not counted)
vs DAL, 2026-04-07: 2, cleared, 28 min (not counted)
vs OKC, 2026-04-08: 0, missed, 27 min (not counted)
at POR, 2026-04-10: 1, cleared, 13 min (not counted)
vs GS, 2026-04-12: 0, missed, 21 min (not counted)
vs BOS, 2026-10-20: 1, cleared, 25 min (not counted)
at MIA, 2026-10-23: 0, missed, 29 min (not counted)
at PHI, 2026-10-25: 2, cleared, 34 min
at NY, 2026-10-27: 3, cleared, 27 min
vs CHA, 2026-10-28: 0, missed, 18 min
at BKN, 2026-10-30: 0, missed, 26 min
at CHA, 2026-11-02: 1, cleared, 19 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 0–2 blocks.

What's different yesterday

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

YesterdayTeammate out
Jalen Duren: Out (hamstring)
Over 0.5 without him: 3 of 5; with him: 1 of 2 (7 games as teammates)
New team
7 games with DET; before that, LAC
Over 0.5 with DET: 4 of 7; his last 10 games before: 3 of 10
Defense vs forwards
PHI allow 2.3 blocks a game to forwards: 11th most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 24.8 min · 2025–26: 27.1 (69 games)

Splits

Over 0.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L20

Cade CunninghamG
Jalen DurenCOut
Duncan RobinsonF

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Pistons count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs PHI

Blocks: 2 in 34 min, Oct 25 (away)

Over 0.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against PHI on record

L20 · Without Duren · Over 0.5

Average: 1.2; +0.7 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 3 of 5
Price implies: 67%; at −205
Books’ fair: —; no Under posted
Our chance: 56%; estimate · fair −129

Research, not a pick. At −188 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −129, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Duren

Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
Line	Over	L20
	−2052 books	3/5
	+2252 books	2/5
	+7701 book	1/5
	+19401 book	0/5

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“1+ blocks”), with no Under to take.

Compare 2 sportsbooks at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over 0.5 Blocks, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5
DraftKings18 hr ago	−188Best
Bally Bet18 hr ago	−205

Prices as of 7:13 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

1.5 → 0.5 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%

John Collins's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:13 PM ET.