Jeremiah Fears

New Orleans Pelicans · G · #0

UTAH @ NO · Live

Over Under8.5

Over 8.5 Reb+Ast, typical price +1033 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

57%4 of 7L20 · Without Murphy

Over 8.5 Reb+Ast cleared in 4 of 7 games without Trey Murphy III (his last 20 games).

vs LAC, 2026-03-18: 4, missed, 18 min (not counted)
vs LAC, 2026-03-19: 2, missed, 24 min (not counted)
vs CLE, 2026-03-21: 6, missed, 18 min (not counted)
at NY, 2026-03-24: 4, missed, 20 min (not counted)
at DET, 2026-03-26: 8, missed, 27 min
at TOR, 2026-03-27: 7, missed, 28 min
vs HOU, 2026-03-29: 7, missed, 22 min
at POR, 2026-04-02: 3, missed, 26 min (not counted)
at SAC, 2026-04-03: 14, cleared, 37 min (not counted)
vs ORL, 2026-04-05: 10, cleared, 37 min
vs UTAH, 2026-04-07: 11, cleared, 38 min
at BOS, 2026-04-10: 9, cleared, 44 min
at MIN, 2026-04-12: 15, cleared, 41 min
vs IND, 2026-10-21: 4, missed, 21 min (not counted)
at UTAH, 2026-10-23: 1, missed, 24 min (not counted)
at DEN, 2026-10-24: 8, missed, 23 min (not counted)
vs DEN, 2026-10-28: 7, missed, 24 min (not counted)
vs SAC, 2026-10-29: 21, cleared, 29 min (not counted)
vs ATL, 2026-10-31: 12, cleared, 31 min (not counted)
at MEM, 2026-11-02: 11, cleared, 38 min (not counted)

ClearedMissedThe 8.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different yesterday

Over 8.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

All 3 of his last 3 came with Trey Murphy III playing; Murphy is out yesterday. Without him: Over 8.5 in 8 of 16.

YesterdayTeammate out
Trey Murphy III: Out (knee)
Over 8.5 without him: 8 of 16; with him: 18 of 73 (89 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Yves Missi: Out (knee)
Over 8.5 without him: 11 of 21; with him: 15 of 68 (89 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 29 min · 2025–26: 25.7 (82 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at MEM

Splits

Over 8.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 8.5 · L20

Dejounte MurrayG
Trey Murphy IIIFOut
Zion WilliamsonF
Yves MissiCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Pelicans count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs UTAH

Reb+Ast: 1 in 24 min, Oct 23 (away)

Over 8.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against UTAH on record

L20 · Without Murphy · Over 8.5

Average: 9.6; +1.1 vs line
Median: 9; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 57%; 4 of 7
Price implies: 49%; at +103
Books’ fair: 46%; margin removed
Minutes: 33.9; 7 games · 25.7 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 8.5 46%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Murphy

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−11153 books	—	7/7
−2751 book	+2001 book	7/7
−1602 books	+1201 book	5/7
+1033 books	−1352 books	4/7
+1553 books	—	3/7
+3901 book	—	1/7
+12002 books	—	1/7

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 8.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 8.5 Reb+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 8.5	Under 8.5
Bovada19 hr ago	+105Best	−135Best
DraftKings19 hr ago	+103	−135Best
Bally Bet19 hr ago	−103	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 8:11 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

8.5

7.5 → 8.5 since first seen

Jeremiah Fears's full game log and splits

This page last updated 8:13 PM ET.