James Harden

Cleveland Cavaliers · G · #1

PHI @ CLE · Today 7:30 PM

Over Under4.5

Over 4.5 Rebounds, typical price −1526 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 4.5 Rebounds cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 at home).

vs NY, 2026-05-23: 5, cleared, 41 min
vs NY, 2026-05-25: 4, missed, 33 min
at PHI, 2026-10-22: 3, missed, 33 min
vs BKN, 2026-10-24: 8, cleared, 33 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-26: 5, cleared, 39 min
vs WSH, 2026-10-28: 2, missed, 34 min
at ATL, 2026-10-29: 5, cleared, 36 min
at MIL, 2026-10-31: 6, cleared, 26 min
vs OKC, 2026-11-02: 4, missed, 33 min
at OKC, 2026-11-04: 9, cleared, 35 min

ClearedMissedThe 4.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 1.9–8.5 rebounds.

What's different today

Over 4.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayDefense vs guards
PHI allow 19.4 rebounds a game to guards: 2nd most of 30
9 games
Minutes
Last 5: 32.8 min · 2026–27: 33.6 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 at OKC
Game lines
CLE +2.5 · total 230.5 (7 sportsbooks)
CLE's games this season closed at 233.6 on average (8 games)

Splits

Over 4.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 4.5 · L10

Donovan MitchellG
Evan MobleyC
Peyton WatsonGDay-To-Day

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Cavaliers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs PHI

Rebounds: 3 in 33 min, Oct 22 (away)

Over 4.5 hit in 3 of 7 games against PHI on record

L10 · Over 4.5

Average: 5.1; +0.6 vs line
Median: 5; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 60%; at −152
Books’ fair: 54%; margin removed
Our chance: 58%; estimate · fair −139

Research, not a pick. At −126 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −139, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
+1181 book	—	10/10
−8354 books	—	9/10
−3355 books	—	8/10
−1526 books	+1043 books	6/10
pick'em only	pick'em only	3/10
+1255 books	−1672 books	3/10
+2204 books	—	2/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 4.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 4.5 Rebounds, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 4.5	Under 4.5
Pinnacle12 min ago	−126Best	−105
FanDuel6 min ago	−136	+104
DraftKings12 min ago	−150	+114Best
Bally Bet12 min ago	−152	—
betPARX7 min ago	−152	—
BetRivers8 min ago	−152	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 10:16 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

4.5

Over: −122 → −152 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+2%

James Harden's full game log and splits