James Harden

Cleveland Cavaliers · G · #1

PHI @ CLE · Today 7:30 PM

Over Under2.5

Under 2.5 3-Pointers Made, typical price −1676 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

40%4 of 10L10

Under 2.5 3-Pointers Made hit in 4 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 at home).

vs NY, 2026-05-23: 1, hit, 41 min
vs NY, 2026-05-25: 0, hit, 33 min
at PHI, 2026-10-22: 3, missed, 33 min
vs BKN, 2026-10-24: 1, hit, 33 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-26: 3, missed, 39 min
vs WSH, 2026-10-28: 2, hit, 34 min
at ATL, 2026-10-29: 3, missed, 36 min
at MIL, 2026-10-31: 3, missed, 26 min
vs OKC, 2026-11-02: 3, missed, 33 min
at OKC, 2026-11-04: 3, missed, 35 min

Under hitMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–4 3-pointers made.

What's different today

Under 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Defense vs guards
PHI allow 6.2 threes made a game to guards: 26th most of 30
9 games
Minutes
Last 5: 32.8 min · 2026–27: 33.6 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 at OKC
Game lines
CLE +2.5 · total 229.5 (7 sportsbooks)
CLE's games this season closed at 233.6 on average (8 games)

Splits

Under 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 2.5 · L10

Donovan MitchellG
Evan MobleyC
Peyton WatsonGDay-To-Day

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Cavaliers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs PHI

3-Pointers Made: 3 in 33 min, Oct 22 (away)

Under 2.5 hit in 3 of 7 games against PHI on record

L10 · Under 2.5

Average: 2.2; −0.3 vs line
Median: 3; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: 63%; at −167
Books’ fair: 58%; margin removed
Our chance: 56%; estimate · fair −128

Research, not a pick. At −158 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −128, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−16002 books	—	1/10
−2305 books	—	3/10
+1236 books	−1675 books	4/10
+2905 books	—	10/10
+7102 books	—	10/10
+14802 books	—	10/10
+27002 books	—	10/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 3-Pointers Made, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
Pinnacle15 min ago	+119	−158Best
DraftKings15 min ago	+125	−165
betPARX3 min ago	+123	−167
BetRivers5 min ago	+123	−167
FanDuel4 min ago	+130Best	−174
Bally Bet14 min ago	+123	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 8:26 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Under: −180 → −167 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+2%

James Harden's full game log and splits