James Harden
PHI @ CLE · Today 7:30 PMGame log against Under 6.5
70%7 of 10L10
Under 6.5 Assists hit in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 at home).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 3–8 assists.
What's different today
Under 6.5 · facts from past games, not a pickDefense vs guards
PHI allow 15.8 assists a game to guards: 16th most of 30
9 games
Minutes
Last 5: 32.8 min · 2026–27: 33.6 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 at OKC
Game lines
CLE +2.5 · total 229.5 (7 sportsbooks)
CLE's games this season closed at 233.6 on average (8 games)
Splits
Under 6.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 6.5 · L10Donovan MitchellG
Evan MobleyC
Peyton WatsonGDay-To-Day
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Cavaliers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs PHI
Assists: 5 in 33 min, Oct 22 (away)
Under 6.5 hit in 4 of 7 games against PHI on record
L10 · Under 6.5
- Average
- 5.7
- −0.8 vs line
- Median
- 6
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 55%
- at −120
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 60%
- estimate · fair −151
Research, not a pick. At −106 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −151, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −11002 books | — | 1/10 | |
| −5004 books | — | 2/10 | |
| −2405 books | — | 4/10 | |
| −1296 books | −1205 books | 7/10 | |
| +1355 books | — | 9/10 | |
| +2254 books | — | 9/10 | |
| +3605 books | — | 10/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 6.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 6.5 | Under 6.5 |
|---|---|---|
| betPARX4 min ago | −129 | −106Best |
| BetRivers5 min ago | −129 | −106Best |
| FanDuel4 min ago | −110 | −120 |
| DraftKings15 min ago | −109 | −121 |
| Pinnacle15 min ago | −108Best | −122 |
| Bally Bet15 min ago | −129 | — |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:26 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
6.5Under: −122 → −120 since first seen


